TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Invictus Gamingof Invictus Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$438,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Invictus Gaming44c87,264$38,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,867.8755955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Invictus Gaming57c65,607$37,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,360.17838.5%30 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Top Esports56c21,089$11,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,793.5154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Top Esports56c20,671$11,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,522.5411645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed Top Esports2c16,665$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.642844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed Top Esports16c13,880$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.9914324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Invictus Gaming43c12,634$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,207.5596048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Top Esports56c11,388$6,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,377.084544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Top Esports56c10,710$5,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.5275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Top Esports56c10,552$5,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,911.7917041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Invictus Gaming48c10,531$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,525.951,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Top Esports56c10,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5508458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Top Esports22c9,984$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.4823020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Top Esports1c9,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Top Esports56c7,860$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.8823445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Top Esports49c6,991$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.6932440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Top Esports56c6,958$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.1522624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Top Esports45c6,752$3,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.5276639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Top Esports56c6,630$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.9210831.5%34 W · 74 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Top Esports4c6,603$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3517410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports5c5,502$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.582,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Top Esports56c5,216$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.826549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming55c5,204$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.291,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe100…4d41backed Invictus Gaming51c5,002$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.0713251.5%68 W · 64 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports51c4,901$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.322,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Top Esports56c4,868$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.0859558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Invictus Gaming44c4,178$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.7282352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Top Esports1c3,762$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Top Esports56c3,634$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.830845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Top Esports52c3,432$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.254246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Top Esports56c3,393$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.0885836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports56c3,355$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.451,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Invictus Gaming44c3,313$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.861,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Top Esports14c3,004$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.342852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Top Esports55c3,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64096250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Invictus Gaming43c2,972$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69449541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Top Esports39c2,792$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.9473237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6dd…edafbacked Top Esports29c2,732$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.3113165.6%86 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Invictus Gaming56c2,569$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.533860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Invictus Gaming44c2,461$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.8667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Invictus Gaming43c2,450$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.4443442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Invictus Gaming52c2,427$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.0267276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Top Esports55c2,340$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.9987844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Invictus Gaming47c2,242$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.0710058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Invictus Gaming75c2,164$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.61,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Top Esports57c2,151$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.5276955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Top Esports45c2,148$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.471249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Invictus Gaming56c2,084$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.261,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed Top Esports47c2,046$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.6811060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Invictus Gaming53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Top Esports9c2,000$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Invictus Gaming45c1,966$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.5454756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Invictus Gaming45c1,966$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.541,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Invictus Gaming45c1,934$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.721954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Invictus Gaming44c1,933$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.371,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Top Esports36c1,884$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.4381143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Invictus Gaming44c1,817$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.741,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Top Esports56c1,739$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.617961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb5a…0ce5backed Top Esports56c1,544$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.564957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Top Esports56c1,460$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.8232844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Top Esports35c1,442$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5353355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Top Esports9c1,426$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Top Esports57c1,367$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3624750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f5…b1c6backed Invictus Gaming62c1,322$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.684774.5%35 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Invictus Gaming46c1,268$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4628852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Top Esports57c1,266$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.881,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Top Esports43c1,251$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.021,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Top Esports52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65084050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Top Esports40c1,216$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.881850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Top Esports22c1,193$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5475630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Top Esports57c1,171$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.3396057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Invictus Gaming43c1,123$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.121,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf974…ec30backed Top Esports54c1,074$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2910049%49 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Invictus Gaming54c1,066$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.2485652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd91…5d82backed Top Esports46c1,063$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.696347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Top Esports57c1,025$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5223754%128 W · 109 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Top Esports49c1,011$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7216352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Invictus Gaming73c1,009$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.051,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Top Esports55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55029338.6%113 W · 180 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Top Esports13c994.86$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1747738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Top Esports56c987.51$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55324147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Top Esports57c974.2$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Invictus Gaming45c967$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.851,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Top Esports55c966.43$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.4128240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Top Esports7c949.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Invictus Gaming55c897.18$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7319053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63da…d5cebacked Top Esports47c856.65$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.633129%9 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Top Esports57c856.05$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9516456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Invictus Gaming44c786.09$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Invictus Gaming45c737.41$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.5764553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Top Esports56c735.91$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8242847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Top Esports56c730.2$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.918242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Top Esports41c723.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.241,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Top Esports47c681.58$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.391,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Invictus Gaming61c680.74$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Top Esports56c642.82$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9845366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56e…2d64backed Top Esports13c641.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.487248.6%35 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Invictus Gaming44c610.61$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.077037.1%26 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Top Esports30c602$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.521,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.