Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44580c63fc9611468d5faf485ebd421eda3ae0ccdc48a9d221727dc0e512c67a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Invictus Gamingof Top Esports, Invictus Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Top Esports | 33c | 1,428$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.17 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Invictus Gaming | 68c | 1,408$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.47 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Top Esports | 32c | 900$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Invictus Gaming | 65c | 784.78$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.67 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…f2bdbacked Top Esports | 33c | 577.51$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Invictus Gaming | 67c | 557.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.81 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Top Esports | 35c | 549.43$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Invictus Gaming | 66c | 513.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Top Esports | 33c | 513.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Invictus Gaming | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 34c | 325.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports | 33c | 321.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Invictus Gaming | 70c | 274.63$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Top Esports | 30c | 261.93$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Top Esports | 35c | 206.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Invictus Gaming | 79c | 165.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 162.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Top Esports | 31c | 157.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Top Esports | 79c | 150.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Invictus Gaming | 21c | 149$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 27cpaid | +105%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Invictus Gaming | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Invictus Gaming | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…03c1backed Top Esports | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Top Esports | 33c | 87.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Top Esports | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Top Esports | 33c | 81.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 79.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Invictus Gaming | 72c | 68.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Top Esports | 33c | 67.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Top Esports | 31c | 59.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 59.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Top Esports | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 51.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Top Esports | 34c | 49.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 49.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Top Esports | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Top Esports | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Invictus Gaming | 69c | 28.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 22.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Invictus Gaming | 66c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Invictus Gaming | 69c | 15.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.