MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b333ed19dc4e3e65b1502fb59cf56af99289ed7358d42e8a2c3855c6117cce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,354,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,502,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,354,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 600,135$258,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342,077.08 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 57c | 411,354$233,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,603.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Athletics | 57c | 191,110$108,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,932.69 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Athletics | 44c | 122,935$54,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,329.64 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 87,368$49,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,848.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Athletics | 39c | 79,407$30,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,875.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,499.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 69,500$29,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,615 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 58,888$24,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,154.96 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 46,512$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,511.6 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 28,571$13,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,633.82 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Athletics | 57c | 28,035$15,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,979.95 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 53c | 20,660$10,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,957.18 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 16,667$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 14,906$7,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,352.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 12,784$7,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,418.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 58c | 12,613$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…e067backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 12,211$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,078.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 11,145$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.75 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 57c | 9,165$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Athletics | 41c | 9,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 6,188$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.5 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Athletics | 32c | 5,456$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 5,280$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed San Francisco Giants | 38c | 5,260$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.46 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 0c | 4,302$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 16c | 3,867$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed San Francisco Giants | 48c | 3,810$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.95 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 57c | 3,400$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.81 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 41c | 3,209$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 2,983$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Athletics | 25c | 2,722$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.58 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 2,627$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 1c | 2,450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 2,351$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 58c | 2,349$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.75 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Athletics | 44c | 2,252$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Athletics | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Athletics | 3c | 2,179$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked San Francisco Giants | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 2,021$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.18 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Athletics | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics | 57c | 2,000$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 50c | 1,785$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.22 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 58c | 1,739$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.78 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Athletics | 33c | 1,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,543$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.49 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…2632backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 1,499$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,391$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.45 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 30c | 1,338$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.13 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked San Francisco Giants | 77c | 1,296$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 33c | 1,221$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 47c | 1,158$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,138$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,028$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.84 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Athletics | 34c | 1,009$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.07 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Athletics | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Athletics | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 961.74$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.19 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…4a16backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 920.93$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 860.67$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Athletics | 37c | 815.4$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.66 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 733.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Athletics | 57c | 700$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…6f39backed San Francisco Giants | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 680$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 669.57$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed San Francisco Giants | 76c | 657.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Athletics | 33c | 634.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Athletics | 39c | 593.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 581.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Athletics | 35c | 563.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Athletics | 41c | 556.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 548.82$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Athletics | 27c | 547.95$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 513.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed San Francisco Giants | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Athletics | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Athletics | 16c | 471.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Athletics | 44c | 463.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 460.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Athletics | 41c | 460$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Athletics | 30c | 435.93$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked San Francisco Giants | 74c | 435.63$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed San Francisco Giants | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked San Francisco Giants | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 420.45$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.