MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa580e5b7bb18ad956ddf30df341e339e821195818c2a13e01fe8c368fc18489d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 54c | 173,260$93,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,435.34 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Over | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 46c | 42,037$19,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,699.8 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 26,135$12,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,935.84 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 7,948$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.11 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 5,252$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.21 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 3,422$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.35 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,200$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 2,816$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.34 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 50c | 1,805$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.57 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 47c | 1,417$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.94 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 52c | 1,313$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.69 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 1,080$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.58 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 1,016$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.81 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 48c | 968.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.41 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 10c | 842.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 825$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.94 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 768.33$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 47c | 754.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 744$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.83 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 700$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 699$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 50c | 640.68$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 527.71$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 444.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 152.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 144.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 142.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 128.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 20c | 114.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Under | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 29c | 103.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 103$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 269 | 62.1%167 W · 102 L | +44.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Under | 52c | 95.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 89.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 25c | 79.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 74.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…3ddfbacked Under | 20c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 21c | 71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 419 | 36.5%153 W · 266 L | -31.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 74c | 67.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 62.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 47c | 60.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 50c | 55.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 53.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…b3f8backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 71c | 51.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 48c | 50.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 48c | 49.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 296 | 47.3%140 W · 156 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…b398backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Under | 52c | 48.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 50c | 44.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 44.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 47c | 36.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Over | 41c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Over | 48c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 32.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed Over | 47c | 23.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Under | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsSan Francisco Giants won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.