TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$366,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under50c105,674$52,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,836.963844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,499.9211333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c48,722$24,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,360.7856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c48,443$24,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,212.825940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c29,729$14,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,828.9364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under49c20,128$9,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,862.761,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over50c19,995$9,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,017.252166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over49c18,980$9,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,598.478439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c18,143$9,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,890.1419359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c16,234$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,120.3610944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Over51c11,765$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,764.715655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c11,652$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,817.8720155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x683d…43b4backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0445…e4dfbacked Over50c7,849$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.147963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.144042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c9e…0b92backed Under50c7,730$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…e586backed Over50c7,527$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over51c7,334$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.6613946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef2…b16abacked Under50c7,137$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c7,120$3,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.5455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c5,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over51c4,608$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.843342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c3,542$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.581,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over51c3,045$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c27…867ebacked Under50c2,462$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over52c2,428$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.386347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,368$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c2,088$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.462857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Over51c1,954$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b68…1502backed Over50c1,939$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,929$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over51c1,872$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under49c1,728$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.0265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c1,648$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.2684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80014148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.638844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over49c1,396$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.11,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over52c1,320$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.795269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over51c1,200$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Over56c1,074$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.495446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under47c979.87$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.545349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over52c970.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0412451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under51c936.41$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.579741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over51c928$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7229556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Under46c873.97$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.032846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c815.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.831,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over50c748.49$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under49c700$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under49c699.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over75c694$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over50c680$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over50c669.9$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.954949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over51c649.1$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0610256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c619$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.691,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c608.38$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.2721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under50c591.74$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8715649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under18c559$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.31,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under8c536.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.922334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Over50c518$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2593066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under49c499.94$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9723742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over51c480.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.571070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…639cbacked Over50c464.61$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over51c441.56$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.361464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under49c419.97$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Over51c372.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.555341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under36c330.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over51c330$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.74047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over51c324$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7612450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c298.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under50c290.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f63…89f3backed Over50c253.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…ce68backed Over50c249.42$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.15151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over47c239.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over46c226$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1227450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x531b…da26backed Over63c222.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over50c218.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.358654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c210.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10710747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8810861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over50c204.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2212150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Over54c203.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.923253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over53c201.4$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.663243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae09…60a2backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x845a…5606backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.