Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Mert Alkaya vs Georgii Kravchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f3cb24734a31704e79cef7ddf1360a437ff8217ecf3720abcf0c11ae59339e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mert Alkayaof Mert Alkaya, Georgii Kravchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Mert Alkaya | 54c | 13,540$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.93 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 5,200$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Georgii Kravchenko | 8c | 4,649$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 1,484$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Mert Alkaya | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.94 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 1,195$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Georgii Kravchenko | 47c | 1,164$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 22c | 917.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 862.4$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.38 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Georgii Kravchenko | 50c | 601.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Georgii Kravchenko | 41c | 595.83$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 379.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 18c | 333.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 327$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Georgii Kravchenko | 47c | 319.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Mert Alkaya | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Georgii Kravchenko | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mert Alkaya | 66c | 246.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Georgii Kravchenko | 18c | 231.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Mert Alkaya | 52c | 215$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 211.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 43c | 173.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Georgii Kravchenko | 42c | 167$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 156.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 151$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mert Alkaya | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 139.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Georgii Kravchenko | 49c | 104$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…2b91backed Mert Alkaya | 56c | 101.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 100.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Mert Alkaya | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 89.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Georgii Kravchenko | 42c | 79.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Mert Alkaya | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Mert Alkaya | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Mert Alkaya | 58c | 71.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Georgii Kravchenko | 32c | 69.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b03ebacked Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 57.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mert Alkaya | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Georgii Kravchenko | 20c | 55.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Mert Alkaya | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Georgii Kravchenko | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 49.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Georgii Kravchenko | 44c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…87b5backed Georgii Kravchenko | 35c | 42.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Georgii Kravchenko | 49c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Georgii Kravchenko | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mert Alkaya | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…667dbacked Mert Alkaya | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 234 | 68.8%161 W · 73 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…a196backed Georgii Kravchenko | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 48c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Mert Alkaya | 54c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Georgii Kravchenko | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Mert Alkaya | 69c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mert Alkaya | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Mert Alkaya | 63c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Mert Alkaya | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.