TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mary Stoianaof Lulu Sun, Mary Stoiana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7032…41f3backed Lulu Sun53c15,982$8,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,468.653129%9 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mary Stoiana59c14,074$8,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,720.8111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mary Stoiana50c4,395$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.168,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lulu Sun52c3,905$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.2593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Lulu Sun58c3,893$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.931,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Lulu Sun36c2,164$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.380153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mary Stoiana48c2,051$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.993,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Lulu Sun23c2,003$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.9415530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Lulu Sun25c2,002$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lulu Sun1c1,790$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Lulu Sun59c1,655$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.9679855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mary Stoiana42c1,422$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.771,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mary Stoiana42c1,406$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.153,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Mary Stoiana48c1,126$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.431,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lulu Sun50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Mary Stoiana42c884.18$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.8256757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Mary Stoiana60c789.46$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8812369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Lulu Sun7c756.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1738422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Mary Stoiana41c731.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Lulu Sun22c694$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Lulu Sun8c658.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Mary Stoiana41c599.97$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9818741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mary Stoiana42c381.06$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.462,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Lulu Sun54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Mary Stoiana42c365$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.71,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Lulu Sun59c333.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.661,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mary Stoiana42c310.9$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.324,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lulu Sun21c290.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.634,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lulu Sun14c286.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Mary Stoiana42c240$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x301d…604dbacked Lulu Sun21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Mary Stoiana43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.566453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Mary Stoiana79c228.8$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9947274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mary Stoiana42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lulu Sun31c191.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Mary Stoiana40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Lulu Sun58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Mary Stoiana42c172$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.762934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lulu Sun35c169.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Lulu Sun61c164.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Mary Stoiana63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lulu Sun55c153.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.583,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Mary Stoiana80c149.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9211551.3%59 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Lulu Sun35c146.74$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Lulu Sun25c146.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5827549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…7fdfbacked Mary Stoiana37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.146139.3%24 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Lulu Sun58c134.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7882560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lulu Sun59c131.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.233,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Lulu Sun20c128.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.691,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Lulu Sun53c127$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.551,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Mary Stoiana75c126.09$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9633650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Lulu Sun26c115.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.462,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Lulu Sun23c111.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.037462.2%46 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Lulu Sun20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2119926.6%53 W · 146 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Lulu Sun57c101$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5796844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Mary Stoiana77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2356153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a0…f000backed Lulu Sun24c97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.485550.9%28 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lulu Sun24c95.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Mary Stoiana47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Lulu Sun39c86.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.581,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Mary Stoiana76c85.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4647447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Mary Stoiana57c84.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1216654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8678…b755backed Mary Stoiana73c81.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Lulu Sun57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.699249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mary Stoiana42c72.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.252,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Mary Stoiana42c72.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0347854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Mary Stoiana42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.652035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mary Stoiana73c64.59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.556,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Mary Stoiana77c64.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Mary Stoiana80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cb…aef2backed Mary Stoiana43c61.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.921090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Mary Stoiana76c61.08$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.772,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Lulu Sun58c61.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.439443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Mary Stoiana74c60.68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0239035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mary Stoiana73c58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.494,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4166…4f83backed Lulu Sun26c57.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7712938.8%50 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Mary Stoiana42c57.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Lulu Sun33c54.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6419548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mary Stoiana71c53.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.594,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67f8…497dbacked Mary Stoiana77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.953070%21 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Mary Stoiana77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mary Stoiana80c49.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Mary Stoiana42c49.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mary Stoiana43c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Mary Stoiana77c43.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.721,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Lulu Sun53c42.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.612,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Mary Stoiana77c38.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.828354.2%45 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Mary Stoiana78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4625768.9%177 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Mary Stoiana45c38.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0951339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Mary Stoiana42c38.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.111,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…aca6backed Mary Stoiana45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.259147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lulu Sun44c32.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.021,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Mary Stoiana66c32.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9230150.2%151 W · 150 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mary Stoiana70c30.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.342,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Mary Stoiana71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.738860.6%235 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Mary Stoiana80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15d…0fa4backed Mary Stoiana43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Mary Stoiana40c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8741…5b0abacked Mary Stoiana75c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.454351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb176…567cbacked Mary Stoiana61c28.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2510067%67 W · 33 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.