Fifa International · resolved market
Austria to score first vs. Jordan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634d1a2d14fdd30f64663348dc3cdfd0051b99f3de84d1c9aab229098089c9cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 73c | 15,658$11,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.68 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 27c | 8,160$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.2 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 5,535$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.09 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 6c | 4,977$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…5d4abacked Yes | 72c | 2,075$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.47 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 27c | 1,664$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 27c | 1,465$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.08 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 73c | 945.82$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.37 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked No | 28c | 839.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 820$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 28c | 691.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 73c | 621.51$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 25c | 571.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 481.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.12 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 471.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 25c | 433.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 26c | 403$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.78 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 402.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…8b3ebacked Yes | 73c | 347.75$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 74c | 312.57$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 28c | 292.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 27c | 213.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…3e15backed No | 25c | 206.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…943ebacked Yes | 75c | 206.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 76c | 183.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 175.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…a059backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e2…5c64backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 112.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 25c | 80.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed No | 28c | 71.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 21c | 64.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…4434backed Yes | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 27c | 52.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…ddc2backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 266 | 52.3%139 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…42abbacked No | 27c | 38.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 79c | 34.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…c624backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…25babacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c96…5494backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…a7ddbacked Yes | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…0865backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…eaedbacked Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austria to score first vs. Jordan?this page
- Austria vs. Jordan: Neither team to score first?No won
- Jordan to score first vs. Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.