Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a14a6369712ae1dee246bc74a7a32e179053d1a012f77e69fd63702e303c1e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 2,052$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 1,769$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 21c | 1,434$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 1,336$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 31c | 1,142$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 987.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.64 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 695.65$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 631.84$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 625.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 50c | 542.22$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 537.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 480$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.19 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 377$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 376.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 69c | 306.23$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Yes | 30c | 305.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 64c | 242.22$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 29c | 242$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 199.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 13c | 190.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…b09bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 70c | 133$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 97.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 96.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 13c | 95.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 52c | 94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 28c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 30c | 81.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 79.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 74.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 69.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 66.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 63.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 71c | 58.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 54c | 51.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 49.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed Yes | 49c | 47.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 43.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 38.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 43c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…e392backed Yes | 52c | 26.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 21.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 19.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed No | 58c | 18.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 79c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.