TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b9d…adc0backed No75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes25c1,460$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.761,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,130$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.522516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed Yes19c1,041$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939054.4%49 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes10c844.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes30c659.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.263228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No74c621.68$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.573348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes41c550.12$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab1…8807backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes7c443$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-63.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes20c387.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.731526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes3c380$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes4c295.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2110848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No64c230.52$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.062853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No67c215.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed No71c210$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.693655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Yes36c198.28$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.871560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes8c188.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No66c187.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.749935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd098…3307backed Yes18c182.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+334.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.85825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes34c147.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.624942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes24c147.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes74c135.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013837.7%52 W · 86 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes16c133.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.296811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes10c125.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes42c119.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9551…8c45backed No75c116.03$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cac…988ebacked Yes33c107.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.125164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes40c101.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes17c101$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404040%16 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6fa…adafbacked Yes31c93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No56c91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4616447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No60c80.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.145844.8%26 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff30…80adbacked Yes35c71.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No57c67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1334538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…1af1backed Yes57c60.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes56c59.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0212438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes61c53.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5815245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87b7…f533backed Yes42c52.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+183.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.239553.7%51 W · 44 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No77c45.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes45c44.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1411141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4218…ff0ebacked Yes43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes35c42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.597450%37 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…27d5backed Yes75c39.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed No54c38.53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.534746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1298…bc58backed Yes43c37.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes38c33.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.763444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No74c29.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.522458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…7e7bbacked No69c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+140.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes44c27.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes41c24.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…7836backed Yes74c20.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed No71c19.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5216549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Yes66c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.629160.4%55 W · 36 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.