NHL · resolved market
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031a1e1bffa938b5c25f8b46176a84263f196e32bf1e2b5c394d7d9046fdb7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 48c | 2,869$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.5 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 37c | 1,186$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,039$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Yes | 62c | 884.97$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 40c | 861$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 47c | 853.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 39c | 765.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.51 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 27c | 729.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 5c | 680$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 632.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked No | 10c | 603.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…c186backed Yes | 50c | 434.18$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 50c | 414.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 386.42$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.09 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 30c | 379.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.85 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 63c | 373.33$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 44c | 373$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 35c | 357.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 41c | 355.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 54c | 344.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 244$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e258backed Yes | 29c | 242.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 237.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked Yes | 23c | 236.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 8c | 226.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 56c | 223.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 55c | 207.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf820…88cfbacked Yes | 46c | 199$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…1279backed Yes | 37c | 195$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…a29abacked No | 10c | 194.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 39c | 189.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…1afabacked Yes | 31c | 180.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 175.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 45c | 172.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…f3d1backed Yes | 12c | 170.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +753.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 43c | 170.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 36c | 158.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…c6fbbacked Yes | 11c | 148$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…4d06backed No | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 43c | 142$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…dd96backed Yes | 64c | 141.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Yes | 57c | 136.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 29c | 128.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 26c | 109.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 34c | 107.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 53c | 106.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 24c | 102$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…4a12backed Yes | 50c | 100.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57c…38c4backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 80c | 89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…dbe1backed Yes | 38c | 87.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…82afbacked Yes | 26c | 86.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 62c | 85.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 48c | 84.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 48c | 84.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 59c | 84.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 83.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 48c | 83.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 24c | 71.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…5fbbbacked Yes | 42c | 70.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 45c | 69.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 21c | 69.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…3ae3backed Yes | 58c | 68.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 42c | 64.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Yes | 40c | 62.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 68c | 59.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Yes | 34c | 59.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a6…f3ccbacked Yes | 30c | 56.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…f226backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe754…20d1backed Yes | 62c | 48.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 50c | 48.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…7fdfbacked Yes | 30c | 45.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…3cf5backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…05e7backed No | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…0de2backed Yes | 35c | 42.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked Yes | 42c | 35.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…ff63backed No | 59c | 34.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed Yes | 45c | 33.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…417abacked No | 73c | 31.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 49c | 31.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2b81backed No | 69c | 30.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 34c | 29.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?this page
- Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.