NHL · resolved market
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0a49a25ea007ee69b7fa97c20e0b3efd541c04dca00a57344cda5b5aa6b57f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,198$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.62 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 77c | 1,174$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.16 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 831.98$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 28c | 774.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 598.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 71c | 580.15$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 18c | 548$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 18c | 535.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 16c | 515.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 11c | 456.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Yes | 15c | 392.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 26c | 266$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 22c | 205.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 26c | 194.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 184.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 174$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 17c | 168.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…2539backed Yes | 35c | 144.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed Yes | 24c | 141.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 13c | 138.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 136.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…6324backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 8c | 132.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 29c | 121.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 36c | 121.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 32c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…50cebacked Yes | 11c | 114.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 15c | 101.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…1279backed Yes | 17c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 42c | 100.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 84.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 23c | 84.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…8f46backed Yes | 16c | 82.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d0…a837backed Yes | 30c | 72.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 16c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 63.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 79c | 61.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…dd96backed Yes | 33c | 60.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 21c | 49.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 57c | 48.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…bd36backed Yes | 29c | 44.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…b9ffbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…c283backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 41c | 32.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…d5acbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?this page
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Yes won
- Will Kirill Kaprizov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
- Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.