Us Midterms · resolved market
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc24b322009fec1418ae0f31324a51b1fb41c79e8e49686ba2f4eb2658cad666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked No | 48c | 17,407$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 54c | 12,722$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902.29 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 42c | 4,174$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.02 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 13c | 2,606$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 2,339$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.92 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 48c | 2,167$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.21 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 11c | 2,101$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…825abacked Yes | 66c | 1,687$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 42c | 1,634$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.42 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 17c | 1,477$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 41c | 1,294$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.16 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 40c | 872.53$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 49c | 784.53$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 7c | 751.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Yes | 4c | 686.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 645.66$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 523.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.01 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 65c | 516.8$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 60c | 500$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 25c | 490.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 481.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 15c | 478.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 59c | 465.98$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 58c | 461$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 65c | 460.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0f…c5efbacked No | 58c | 439.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa22…5e49backed No | 49c | 412.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 75c | 356$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Yes | 50c | 319.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 34c | 231.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 73c | 219$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 22c | 209.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…bc44backed Yes | 67c | 207.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 70c | 202$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 40c | 169.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 14c | 168$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 161$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 74c | 152.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 20c | 139.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 53c | 136.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 60c | 135.35$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 60c | 134.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…5097backed No | 66c | 130.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 47c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 80c | 105.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 40c | 102.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed No | 34c | 102$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 15c | 101$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…dbf7backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 52c | 91.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 45c | 82.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 49c | 81.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…d097backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0f0bbacked No | 80c | 76.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…188fbacked No | 25c | 66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1f…04f1backed Yes | 30c | 65.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 28c | 58.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed Yes | 44c | 57.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 38c | 50.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Yes | 53c | 50.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dad…1838backed Yes | 21c | 50.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…6c48backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 66c | 48.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 48c | 47.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…22bcbacked Yes | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 39.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…d5acbacked Yes | 56c | 36.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 44c | 36.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…0e42backed Yes | 51c | 35.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 39c | 34.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…49c3backed Yes | 34c | 31.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…c19bbacked Yes | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…38ecbacked Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 40c | 25.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…d8abbacked No | 60c | 24.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…23a0backed No | 49c | 23.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 66c | 21.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5e…3873backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…c816backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 52c | 19.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…ec7cbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?this page
- Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?Yes won
- Will Evangelos Argyrakis be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?No won
- Will Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.