MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9f4c27ff236ee84ddd365c7af36d2177a68b7069d92bcb1004040039d860156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 41c | 1,666$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…39f9backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SSG Landers | 52c | 595$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.52 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Samsung Lions | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 239.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 210.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 49c | 205.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 170.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 44c | 152$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Samsung Lions | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 137$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 40c | 123.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 40c | 122.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…8258backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 111.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 105.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked SSG Landers | 41c | 90.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Samsung Lions | 34c | 89.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 82.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…65a7backed SSG Landers | 76c | 78.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Samsung Lions | 62c | 75.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samsung Lions | 45c | 64.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SSG Landers | 66c | 61.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed SSG Landers | 41c | 57.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 51.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 44.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 40c | 41.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 38c | 40.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 54c | 38.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked SSG Landers | 57c | 38.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 39c | 36.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 37c | 33.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…5db7backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 41c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 29.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SSG Landers | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed SSG Landers | 42c | 28.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 27.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked SSG Landers | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed SSG Landers | 54c | 26.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…8d90backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 63c | 20.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…d2b7backed SSG Landers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…d848backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 18.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.