World Politics · resolved market
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb64cbeac97926a55659d6473c000b819e156ff3b27e52fe88c459cb437aa9d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 17c | 2,640$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.37 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 21c | 1,580$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 23c | 938.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes | 19c | 816.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked No | 79c | 770.64$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 14c | 612.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 599.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…058dbacked Yes | 37c | 464.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 32c | 279.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 23c | 215.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 149.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 120.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 80c | 105.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…d78ebacked Yes | 17c | 105.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 31c | 100.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…d1cdbacked Yes | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 17c | 98.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 92.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…f7ffbacked No | 78c | 87.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 79c | 86.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 21c | 85.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 14c | 74.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 70c | 70.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…1d6cbacked Yes | 29c | 69.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2f…febabacked Yes | 28c | 67.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…4134backed No | 67c | 60.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 59.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 68c | 53.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e6…c38fbacked Yes | 25c | 52.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 48.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 36c | 48.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 23c | 47.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 79c | 44.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd400…c7e9backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…88abbacked Yes | 34c | 36.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 78c | 35.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ec8cbacked No | 77c | 34.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…f914backed No | 76c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…1f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ecb…e7f8backed No | 75c | 23.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 68c | 20.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0efebacked No | 76c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked No | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 18.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…bf21backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?this page
- Will ADK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?No won
- Will DIKO win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?No won
- Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Yes won
- Will EDEK win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?No won
- Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?No won
- Will VOLT win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.