TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1ca…1705backed No18c2,302$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.417129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No22c1,200$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.845317%9 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No7c1,050$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.522725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed No27c998.07$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.95721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed No25c845.16$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.72160%0 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No13c812.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5922355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a98…6a15backed Yes78c720.25$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962a…aa6cbacked Yes76c688.15$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes77c662.09$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.993336.4%12 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4baf…5fdfbacked Yes79c615$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa834…71aebacked Yes77c606.63$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.862347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No21c599.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.954032.5%13 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d41…f085backed Yes79c593.16$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163a…6388backed Yes69c586.74$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.741573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Yes78c530.95$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No20c497.79$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.315932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42af…048dbacked Yes77c487.01$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6f…0e5fbacked Yes64c482.34$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.491154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7db4…07c9backed Yes71c421.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No23c400.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.611,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…dbbfbacked No31c399.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ea…35acbacked Yes77c379.22$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked No33c355.39$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8330233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No13c352.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7816616.9%28 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No21c323.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1239952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No17c321.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1918762.6%117 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bf…0becbacked Yes59c310.24$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No17c305.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3418348.6%89 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No16c303$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7215954.1%86 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f9e…4f1abacked No22c299.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679850%49 W · 49 L+16.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+40.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No24c292.66$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8811647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584a…6317backed Yes70c289.78$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.82580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No38c260.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8332255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Yes77c259$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No19c227.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2310646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b3…109fbacked Yes78c213.23$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.232560%15 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No22c210.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4315558.7%91 W · 64 L+0.8wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81c3…ef1cbacked Yes76c203.56$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…679ebacked Yes77c202.31$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.422857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e9…8614backed No31c200.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…77bdbacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.824944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes53c195.15$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0826139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf041…9b4bbacked Yes65c184.71$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No40c177.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7119957.3%114 W · 85 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfa…8d86backed Yes71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.011464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c9b…b444backed Yes59c165$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Yes66c151.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Yes79c147.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.832272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Yes68c146.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No18c138.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.945328.3%15 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c1…9c63backed Yes74c135.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.74785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a2…560ebacked No20c134.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273925.6%10 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No16c134.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1739414%55 W · 339 L-71.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2597…42dbbacked Yes56c130.24$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…f2b3backed Yes78c127.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.78666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No26c125.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.588552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0957…77e8backed No17c117.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.233948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed Yes35c115$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.523921.3%51 W · 188 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.412249.2%60 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd5…dd4bbacked Yes79c110$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9d…77dbbacked Yes80c108.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca3…0182backed No15c105$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No20c103$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5816850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5516…f7f9backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a0e…f285backed Yes60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No23c86.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.769254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No20c84.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8113243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes72c79.66$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.293857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x747c…e189backed Yes63c79.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ecb…e7f8backed Yes76c77.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No19c77.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7216254.3%88 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…2a10backed Yes67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.623464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932f…f3cabacked Yes75c74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…2895backed Yes77c69.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…80ccbacked Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No46c60.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6816852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes53c54.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9399017.2%170 W · 820 L-148.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No22c54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4760…46b3backed Yes62c49.95$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No41c47.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4626052.3%136 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No24c44.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7814753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No24c44.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.591250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5014…b392backed Yes77c41.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.563100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82e8…7de6backed Yes68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x301f…3609backed Yes69c39.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.221478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb237…ccb4backed Yes67c37.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.051668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes68c36.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.664669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc9b…2422backed No36c36.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747b…a2d4backed No28c35.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No31c33.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810845.4%49 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb1…13efbacked Yes62c32.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a1…8801backed Yes79c31.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+153%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ee…733dbacked Yes64c31.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe0…d820backed Yes65c30.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0887…6cd8backed Yes76c30.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf270…5fe3backed Yes73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd7…bf4ebacked Yes68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…ceaebacked Yes72c27.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.96366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.