MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b5319e9123d5135190a021b1828a92bfd6ca7597aab9d2a404f2f932a7adbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,002,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,126,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 148,750$118,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,495.59 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 111,048$23,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,964.88 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 83,553$66,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,546.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 70,498$39,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,479.01 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 67,952$37,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,373.53 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 62,390$29,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,853.12 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 30,105$21,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 24,163$17,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 23,516$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.26 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 23,254$10,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,218.59 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 21,459$11,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,324.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 20,702$6,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,466.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 18,133$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 18,059$7,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,113.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 17,183$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.35 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 13,434$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 12,967$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.1 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 11,010$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,010.49 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 10,427$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,268.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 10,277$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.09 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.57 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 8,196$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 8,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 7,114$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.77 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 6,480$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 6,154$3,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,405.94 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.9 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 5,531$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.37 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 4,776$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 3,870$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,698$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 3,407$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.85 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,302$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.74 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 32c | 3,093$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.82 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 3,078$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.46 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 3,065$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.97 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,918$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.52 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,798$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,751$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.74 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,663$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.79 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 2,447$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.33 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,325$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.54 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…89cebacked Boston Red Sox | 30c | 2,284$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,212$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.65 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 1,901$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 18c | 1,845$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.17 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 1,785$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.73 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,630$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.14 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,589$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,564$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.58 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,382$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,341$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,336$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.97 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,274$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.69 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,260$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.58 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 1,238$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,207$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.9 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 1,187$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.98 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 1,178$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.87 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 1,140$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 1,006$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,006$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 997.48$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.66 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 946.26$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 939.62$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 925.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 904.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.65 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 901.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 900.35$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.94 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 899.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.88 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 850.22$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 817.63$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 801.35$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.66 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 746.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 738.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 719.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 701.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 699.98$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 657.51$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.78 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 653.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 637.03$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 633.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 589.07$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…3dcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 566.67$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 555.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…1f94backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 544.73$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.