TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under53c220,803$116,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,429.6443647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c133,455$62,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,634.274,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c38,031$17,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,644.5211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under51c24,744$12,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,124.5241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c20,186$9,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,689.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Over47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4002552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Under56c13,000$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,719.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over49c12,500$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12547953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c9,025$4,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,316.691,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c6,955$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.044,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7286…d5d0backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under53c3,277$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.0633554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,942$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.16,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,792$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.95,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under57c2,456$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.1428850.3%145 W · 143 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c2,203$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.991,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under49c2,031$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.8520648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over48c1,672$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.91,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72086653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over21c1,428$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9387750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c1,424$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over39c1,102$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9177647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48021653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Over47c974.52$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5466050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6738353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under53c799.98$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under61c645.33$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.053,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over48c625.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0161450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff1…3972backed Under54c542.59$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over42c533.2$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.85,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c459.21$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.422,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under61c375$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.022,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c333.05$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over47c271.36$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5490446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under46c211.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3226747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over41c202.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0726438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11270737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed Under52c199.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.833060%18 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over26c184.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.184,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over40c182.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2165549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Over48c170.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under45c161.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.128,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c149.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.25,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over48c118.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2134451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over49c115$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.87343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over48c104.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7851545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed Over49c102.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over48c102.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2257747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Over49c102.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over46c101.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.441,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd875…19cfbacked Under70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over47c86.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2239053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over47c86.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0111255.4%62 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6712…bfc3backed Over15c84.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c80.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.463,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf388…5c83backed Over58c76.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.491030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6762554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…0f76backed Over63c64.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under55c64.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over49c64.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.561,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under51c63.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1827652.9%146 W · 130 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under51c63.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.181,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc28…ede2backed Under56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Under56c62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2819152.9%101 W · 90 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over40c55.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…3e21backed Under57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7925034.8%87 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c52.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under48c49.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9843954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c46.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.258,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Under60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6713263.6%84 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over47c40.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2342448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Under57c40.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5716450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.646557.2%266 W · 199 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Under52c38.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.175056%28 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under58c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over43c36.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8353950.6%273 W · 266 L+16.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6588053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under56c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.531968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Under36c34.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9311150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe928…82fcbacked Under53c33.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.612373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525748.2%124 W · 133 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over48c31.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0134846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c31.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.144,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Under65c30.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7819163.4%121 W · 70 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.377836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over42c29.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5742047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed Under52c28.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5535849.4%177 W · 181 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.