MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc83ad41fdb71c97373dda9caf656ca5c1404d41e84acad53df592b7d744c77e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 220,803$116,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,429.64 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 133,455$62,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,634.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 38,031$17,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,644.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 51c | 24,744$12,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,124.52 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 20,186$9,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,689.5 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Over | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 12,500$6,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,125 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 9,025$4,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316.69 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 6,955$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 53c | 3,277$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.06 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,942$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,792$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 57c | 2,456$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.14 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 2,203$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 49c | 2,031$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.85 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,672$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 21c | 1,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 1,424$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 39c | 1,102$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.91 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 47c | 974.52$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.02 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 61c | 645.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 625.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3972backed Under | 54c | 542.59$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 533.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 459.21$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 61c | 375$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 333.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 47c | 271.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 46c | 211.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 41c | 202.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Under | 52c | 199.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 26c | 184.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 40c | 182.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 48c | 170.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 161.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 149.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 48c | 118.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 104.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 49c | 102.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 48c | 102.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Over | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 101.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Under | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 86.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 47c | 86.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…bfc3backed Over | 15c | 84.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 80.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…5c83backed Over | 58c | 76.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…0f76backed Over | 63c | 64.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 55c | 64.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 49c | 64.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 51c | 63.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 51c | 63.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Under | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 40c | 55.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 52.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 48c | 49.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 46.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 47c | 40.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Under | 57c | 40.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Under | 52c | 38.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 58c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 43c | 36.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 56c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 36c | 34.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 53c | 33.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 31.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 42c | 31.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Under | 65c | 30.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 42c | 29.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 52c | 28.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.