NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c9b174294a916eace47a7939ebac0d22de0e2c8701c4669e2dbe42c31068ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 3c | 27,544$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.2 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 51c | 17,546$8,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,684.96 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 38c | 6,443$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.33 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 38c | 5,465$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.86 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,858$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 3,705$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.62 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 62c | 2,847$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 61c | 2,811$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.45 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 42c | 2,250$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 2,021$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 1,971$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.13 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 62c | 1,662$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.35 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 1,064$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…8307backed Under | 42c | 1,045$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 841.99$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.96 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 38c | 773.12$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Under | 42c | 546.95$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 62c | 535.88$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 532.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Under | 39c | 526.16$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 45c | 500.39$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 66c | 500$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 49c | 489.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 409.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 39c | 398.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Over | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 43c | 366.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 53c | 363.65$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 348.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Over | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 25c | 284.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…6359backed Over | 62c | 263.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 34c | 260.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 59c | 246.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 44c | 236.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Over | 45c | 230.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 39c | 209.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 41c | 203.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 183.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 181.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 61c | 173.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 37c | 169.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Under | 45c | 159.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 153.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 141.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 55c | 134.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 46c | 112.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 41c | 112.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 57c | 109.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 53c | 108.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 63c | 103$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 36c | 100.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…b9d8backed Over | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 93.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 92.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 41c | 91.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 38c | 83.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 69c | 80.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 75.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 44c | 73.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 71.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 42c | 68.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Under | 36c | 65.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…57d2backed Over | 71c | 64.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…86c0backed Under | 39c | 61.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 41c | 60.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 38c | 55.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…8910backed Under | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 61c | 48.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Under | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 67c | 43.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 37c | 43.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Under | 31c | 43.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 39c | 40.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 63c | 38.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 38c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Over | 51c | 37.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 38c | 36.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 69c | 35.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…31b5backed Under | 39c | 34.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 62c | 34.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 39c | 33.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 56c | 31.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…e615backed Under | 38c | 30.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Under | 40c | 28.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Over | 71c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 62c | 26.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Under | 56c | 26.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Over | 63c | 20.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. DucksDucks won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.