TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under59c68,590$40,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,122.8912146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Over41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,5007545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Over0c29,142$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a30…17bbbacked Over0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa945…110fbacked Over0c11,464$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over41c8,199$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.6310146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4608845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under74c5,394$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.342,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over41c3,375$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.623333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over42c3,268$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.0728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over42c3,160$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over21c3,137$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.5742254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c3,071$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.122,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over25c2,265$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6141850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Under46c2,105$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.34951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under58c2,056$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5522946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over39c1,996$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under59c1,920$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over18c1,860$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under59c1,600$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Over25c1,291$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.644443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under59c1,290$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.8650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under75c1,203$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.552365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over26c1,128$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3629448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over44c1,003$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8142847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over25c995.86$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.971435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Under56c870.09$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.316750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under73c864.33$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.379562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under58c819.98$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over41c770.46$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.441,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Under69c702.12$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.835870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under56c697.91$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over41c621.2$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.692133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over32c591.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.912,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over41c578.76$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.297149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under59c569.4$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4547753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under77c559.67$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.577363%46 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under58c555$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.149546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under59c550.52$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.715662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under56c500.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.612857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under64c489.2$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1115265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under68c485$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over26c477.8$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2356553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9225449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under51c418.61$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.113844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over23c415.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5441340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over27c411.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0314045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over35c393.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.046434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under60c329.87$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.954452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under58c300.54$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.2314650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12327049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under60c288.88$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.559457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over45c278.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Over26c274.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over42c241.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3525337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under77c213.1$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9228340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1400…1ce7backed Under73c201.55$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over12c194.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4419033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under73c184.6$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under59c172.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9214353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over32c169.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.711,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Under59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.786371.4%45 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under78c159.26$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under54c155.09$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.532245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Under75c153.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.54725.5%12 W · 35 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under46c147.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.217227.3%47 W · 125 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under74c146.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.923950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over38c144.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.566341.3%26 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…7404backed Under78c138.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Under74c132.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under72c130.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8835551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Under75c128$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under79c125.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8813442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under74c124.25$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.355954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Under59c121.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Over40c118.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7318931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Under74c114.87$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over42c103.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4371952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4260449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under74c99.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7811061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over41c97.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Over33c87.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.793948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under71c85.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4634547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Under59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under59c82.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3321253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Over42c80.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.789647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.368757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over33c72.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Over33c72.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over41c70.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8753849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c69.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6e31…15d1backed Over42c68.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Under57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Under73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under73c66.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7610166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2048…b9e9backed Under52c64.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.864358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under77c64.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+195.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked Over46c64.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.331963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.