TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Caty McNallyof Caty McNally, Solana Sierra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Solana Sierra33c60,393$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Solana Sierra11c18,292$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.338,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Caty McNally65c15,622$10,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,467.755853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Caty McNally67c10,714$7,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.9856757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Solana Sierra31c9,677$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Solana Sierra24c9,600$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.1345036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Caty McNally75c8,171$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.4893740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Caty McNally68c8,076$5,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.4256651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Caty McNally71c7,380$5,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.64,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Solana Sierra1c6,005$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.311,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Solana Sierra31c3,879$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.623,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Caty McNally76c3,136$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.2965952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Solana Sierra28c3,130$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6978536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Caty McNally74c3,060$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Caty McNally76c2,812$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.735,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Solana Sierra12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Caty McNally67c2,061$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.863,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Caty McNally69c1,954$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.314,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Solana Sierra30c1,813$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3115530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caty McNally73c1,431$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Caty McNally73c1,328$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Solana Sierra26c1,232$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.4247854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Caty McNally70c1,223$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.972,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Solana Sierra33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39633438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Solana Sierra12c1,158$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13919626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3856…19eabacked Caty McNally68c1,090$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Caty McNally68c1,083$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.913,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Solana Sierra31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0203…c2f7backed Solana Sierra17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703315.2%5 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Solana Sierra31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Solana Sierra11c905.39$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1852910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Caty McNally68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3526853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Caty McNally67c876.37$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3118256.6%103 W · 79 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solana Sierra13c843.07$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.422,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Solana Sierra16c839.06$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2539238.8%152 W · 240 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Caty McNally71c813.6$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.929533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Solana Sierra13c801.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10472132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Solana Sierra13c768.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Solana Sierra8c752.07$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.772,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Caty McNally69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6457950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed Solana Sierra9c698.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Caty McNally67c680.19$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.461,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Caty McNally66c619.7$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.71,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd7c…18d3backed Solana Sierra7c614.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.16329.4%3 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-78.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Solana Sierra26c602.49$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2830235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Solana Sierra31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Solana Sierra14c561.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Solana Sierra33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Solana Sierra36c499.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2901…f4d6backed Solana Sierra35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1756535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Caty McNally74c499.15$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.791755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Solana Sierra11c499.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.481,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x301d…604dbacked Solana Sierra20c489.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Solana Sierra31c487.19$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.191,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Solana Sierra8c463.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357017.1%12 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Caty McNally68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Caty McNally76c422.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.763,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Solana Sierra14c415.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.231,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Solana Sierra30c412.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Caty McNally75c406.4$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.622,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Caty McNally71c400.05$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.012,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Solana Sierra32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Caty McNally69c374.95$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.937047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Caty McNally68c374$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.341,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd357…c7a0backed Solana Sierra14c354.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.682030%6 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Solana Sierra28c351.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec28…8d7abacked Solana Sierra14c336.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1611230.4%34 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Caty McNally68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618551.4%95 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cda…2de5backed Caty McNally63c298.41$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.416157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Solana Sierra18c296.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.696945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Solana Sierra25c294.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8879951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Solana Sierra14c278.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Caty McNally68c267.19$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.57,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Caty McNally75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6735955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Caty McNally75c266.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6336657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Caty McNally68c261.26$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.61,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Solana Sierra13c260.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Caty McNally72c260$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6856744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Solana Sierra28c246.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Solana Sierra25c238.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.772,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Solana Sierra23c235.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1217738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Caty McNally69c231.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.763,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…f868backed Caty McNally65c231$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.856165.6%40 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Caty McNally80c226.28$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.096,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Solana Sierra37c216.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9613243.9%58 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Solana Sierra14c210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.436661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Solana Sierra25c204.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Solana Sierra37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7419343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Solana Sierra8c196.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.833208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Caty McNally68c192.5$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.673748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Caty McNally68c189$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4838952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Solana Sierra27c173.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0990335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Solana Sierra10c170.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2385742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Caty McNally77c168.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.256,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Caty McNally66c166.67$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.672,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Caty McNally72c164.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4630554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Caty McNally75c161.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1719459.3%115 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Caty McNally72c160.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2213151.9%68 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9f…ea97backed Solana Sierra14c153.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Caty McNally68c151$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3215754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.