Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300b398e3e733da0f1c6178a075658d8812dc7d810091ae4463c51e1a06ca049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp GCof G2 Gozen, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Karmine Corp GC | 19c | 505$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…65c7backed Karmine Corp GC | 24c | 293.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked G2 Gozen | 74c | 178.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Karmine Corp GC | 10c | 154.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Karmine Corp GC | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 37c | 63.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Karmine Corp GC | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 30.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.