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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof MIBR, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR39c8,000$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.0436753.7%197 W · 170 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION55c5,120$2,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.271,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed MIBR32c5,000$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,394.4110935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION50c3,951$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.1987847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked MIBR38c3,267$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.2710550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed PARIVISION65c2,916$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.4614763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR66c2,852$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.42,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed PARIVISION62c2,742$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION61c2,455$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.8232548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed MIBR41c1,977$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.4624346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION51c1,977$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.061,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION58c1,921$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.22,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1588…eed3backed MIBR38c1,899$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.391450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION28c1,879$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed MIBR62c1,811$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.5252242.5%222 W · 300 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed PARIVISION52c1,772$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.4716155.9%90 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MIBR46c1,750$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9845455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION20c1,349$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.761,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR61c1,287$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.256,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION56c1,262$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.633,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION48c1,250$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.84,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR57c1,014$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.54,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MIBR41c1,009$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3162137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed PARIVISION10c1,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.024461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked PARIVISION61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61011753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MIBR50c945.01$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5836240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed PARIVISION67c898$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.14850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked PARIVISION69c859.4$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION58c849.23$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.372,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2744…7e85backed PARIVISION64c799.18$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.721752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION60c788.98$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed PARIVISION65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed MIBR46c727.94$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9434146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION47c701.73$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.7639468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MIBR43c697.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8629934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MIBR72c691.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.320458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed PARIVISION37c650$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.541716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed PARIVISION68c600$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.9364058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed PARIVISION57c557.14$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed MIBR77c546.63$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7217345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed MIBR54c538.57$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2368172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked PARIVISION62c531.08$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2740148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed MIBR35c525.18$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.0241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION62c508.97$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.7714257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked MIBR39c507.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.522243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed PARIVISION60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.997,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked MIBR41c493.27$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.032250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed PARIVISION59c468.86$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3612534.4%43 W · 82 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION57c439.86$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7223343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION47c438.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.824,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MIBR53c436.27$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.061,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed MIBR45c435.46$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8840141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed MIBR34c415.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3862350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed MIBR47c407$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.642,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MIBR39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24450846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed PARIVISION58c376.43$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.712,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed MIBR38c370$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.483643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MIBR36c357.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1496945.6%442 W · 527 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed PARIVISION21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed PARIVISION22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6618338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked PARIVISION55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed PARIVISION61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18342751.5%220 W · 207 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MIBR46c282.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1846565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked MIBR40c281.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8739847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION47c280.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.65,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked MIBR36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7865950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked PARIVISION53c264$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.043,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed PARIVISION20c257.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2713142%55 W · 76 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed MIBR78c252.35$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5223245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked PARIVISION57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.519857.6%114 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked MIBR46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13520054.5%109 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MIBR53c250$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed MIBR38c249.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.995438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3a…90a4backed MIBR41c241.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed PARIVISION18c229$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2261834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked MIBR21c210$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.943437.6%163 W · 271 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed PARIVISION34c201.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7827459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed PARIVISION15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked PARIVISION43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed PARIVISION31c192.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.678740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION40c189.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3939258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked PARIVISION61c184.37$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.752,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed PARIVISION62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked PARIVISION62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed MIBR40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907540%30 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked MIBR69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.550458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed PARIVISION49c144$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.815,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed MIBR40c137.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2342538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed MIBR42c130.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked MIBR40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812839.8%51 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed MIBR34c125.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MIBR40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MIBR40c122$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.230527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked MIBR38c118.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3984937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION49c113.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.334,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked MIBR40c101.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.166753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked PARIVISION28c100.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.863748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.