CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1cd7c58d963d7867c29d15d4660150998b18fd233b7ed81ec17eed830f2723e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof PARIVISION, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked MIBR | 56c | 2,698$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.48 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MIBR | 59c | 496.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked MIBR | 59c | 442.51$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.13 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed PARIVISION | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed PARIVISION | 42c | 309.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PARIVISION | 40c | 277.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 258.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed MIBR | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MIBR | 50c | 211.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed PARIVISION | 37c | 206.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed PARIVISION | 37c | 179.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed PARIVISION | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked PARIVISION | 37c | 133.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed MIBR | 60c | 122.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked MIBR | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed MIBR | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed MIBR | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 77.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed MIBR | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed MIBR | 62c | 39.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed PARIVISION | 41c | 34.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed PARIVISION | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked MIBR | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed PARIVISION | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MIBR | 63c | 29.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed MIBR | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f10…1f55backed MIBR | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MIBR | 72c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.