CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c348014ebd0b92d863546d418ed48c45952fef320e541d6ee6a84aa0d94a83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 53c | 3,750$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.48 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 47c | 1,295$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.32 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 59c | 883$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 57c | 852.16$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.85 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 64c | 700$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 59c | 512.67$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Under | 35c | 505.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.62 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 58c | 501.5$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 47c | 499.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Over | 28c | 465.16$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 47c | 387.23$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 78c | 356.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 54c | 204.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 47c | 182.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 49c | 41.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Over | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 45c | 33.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.