Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc70372e5c5198858c086ae0bea6cc540709572c967ed8e916a5e11d5efe543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 22c | 16,590$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 61c | 8,464$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.14 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 69c | 6,950$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.98 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 78c | 5,818$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 38c | 4,490$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.08 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked 1win | 27c | 4,300$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 4,148$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 28c | 3,503$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.51 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 1win | 35c | 3,395$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 78c | 3,200$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.39 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 19c | 3,200$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.98 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 37c | 3,061$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.44 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,694$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.81 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 80c | 2,552$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 2,406$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.98 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 2,210$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,124$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.61 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 32c | 1,943$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.48 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 31c | 1,812$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 28c | 1,809$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 28c | 1,617$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,516$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 1win | 20c | 1,193$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.51 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,100$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…65c7backed 1win | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 28c | 1,100$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 26c | 1,010$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked 1win | 38c | 992$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.82 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 21c | 929.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed 1win | 21c | 928.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 21c | 912.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked 1win | 21c | 876.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 79c | 844$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 27c | 811.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 80c | 782.17$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 772.15$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked 1win | 22c | 770.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 78c | 658.7$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.73 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 22c | 654.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PARIVISION | 78c | 630.03$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 38c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 589.78$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked 1win | 22c | 583.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 1win | 24c | 529.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 500$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed 1win | 41c | 450$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 66c | 440.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 421.9$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed 1win | 31c | 387.03$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 23c | 381.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked 1win | 22c | 370$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed 1win | 42c | 364.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 357.35$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed 1win | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked 1win | 32c | 352.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 325$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PARIVISION | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 276.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 1win | 35c | 251$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 28c | 220.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 215.77$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed 1win | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 34c | 191.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed PARIVISION | 79c | 179$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…e2c3backed 1win | 28c | 171.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed PARIVISION | 79c | 171$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed PARIVISION | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 77c | 168.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 163.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed PARIVISION | 62c | 160.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 154.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed PARIVISION | 79c | 142$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed PARIVISION | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed PARIVISION | 72c | 111.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…ddcfbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 100.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 1win | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed 1win | 22c | 97.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 1win | 20c | 95.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 93.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 1win | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PARIVISION | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed 1win | 20c | 87.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 26c | 85.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed PARIVISION | 63c | 84.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1win | 22c | 74.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed PARIVISION | 51c | 67.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs 1win (+2.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.