Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715c37e919699a0da24064119c145692366bc493067f52671d37f443a54c4122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 73c | 18,347$13,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.81 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed 1win | 27c | 12,475$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.15 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked 1win | 16c | 10,637$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.92 | 413 | 42.1%174 W · 239 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 18c | 7,789$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.02 | 966 | 57.3%554 W · 412 L | +49.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 7,049$5,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.54 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 68c | 6,624$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.57 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 4,059$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.13 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 1win | 4c | 3,035$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 1win | 32c | 2,793$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.07 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 23c | 2,406$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.11 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed 1win | 31c | 2,090$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 27c | 2,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.54 | 809 | 55.9%452 W · 357 L | +21.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 1win | 28c | 1,985$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed 1win | 28c | 1,772$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 304 | 56.6%172 W · 132 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 14c | 1,685$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed 1win | 30c | 1,669$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,640$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.96 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed 1win | 32c | 1,548$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 28c | 1,481$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.61 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,376$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.06 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,340$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.11 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,250$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked 1win | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 9c | 1,041$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 28c | 1,036$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.13 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 28c | 979.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 32c | 941$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 1win | 37c | 835.38$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 1win | 22c | 800$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed PARIVISION | 71c | 753.52$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 22c | 724.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 2,835 | 43.6%1,237 W · 1,598 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked 1win | 22c | 721.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed 1win | 21c | 700$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 24c | 603.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 441 | 38.5%170 W · 271 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked 1win | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 1win | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 1win | 16c | 499.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 468.23$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed 1win | 39c | 457$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 18c | 450$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 538 | 58.7%316 W · 222 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 423.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 1win | 25c | 404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 1win | 24c | 395.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 466 | 50.2%234 W · 232 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 360.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 358.17$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed 1win | 37c | 350.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 1win | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked 1win | 33c | 306.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 619 | 49.9%309 W · 310 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 1win | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 29c | 299.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…14d3backed 1win | 21c | 289.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…c97abacked 1win | 5c | 258.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed PARIVISION | 79c | 254.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked 1win | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 545 | 59.3%323 W · 222 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 35c | 249.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 70c | 236.92$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 1win | 35c | 230.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 218.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 207.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked 1win | 34c | 201.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 1win | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 252 | 37.7%95 W · 157 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed PARIVISION | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed 1win | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 538 | 34.2%184 W · 354 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed 1win | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 421 | 53.4%225 W · 196 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed 1win | 17c | 176.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 170$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 29c | 165.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 621 | 55.9%347 W · 274 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 26c | 156$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed PARIVISION | 64c | 148.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 29c | 143.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,270 | 49.6%630 W · 640 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…efabbacked 1win | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PARIVISION | 75c | 124.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed 1win | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 75c | 107.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 1,250 | 44.4%555 W · 695 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 1win | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed PARIVISION | 61c | 96.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed 1win | 16c | 91.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed 1win | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed PARIVISION | 69c | 72.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed 1win | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 31c | 63.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 597 | 53.8%321 W · 276 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 1win | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed 1win | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked 1win | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 21c | 53.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 1win | 28c | 49.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION | 79c | 49.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 559 | 62.1%347 W · 212 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 72c | 44.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed 1win | 25c | 43.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs 1win (+2.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.