CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed93ecf5ddcbd89df7998b556c03439ab12b8d834eb36c9046d09edd453a133b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 18c | 1,633$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 18c | 1,099$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 25c | 1,035$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c58…f3c7backed Over | 19c | 1,020$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 18c | 554.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 503.19$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.89 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Under | 80c | 408.17$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…4cb4backed Under | 71c | 335.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 329.55$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 19c | 329.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 20c | 283.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 20c | 180.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 64c | 133.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…65c7backed Over | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 30c | 115.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 26c | 105.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 20c | 94.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…79b8backed Under | 80c | 93.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 72c | 89.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…7327backed Over | 28c | 88.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 36c | 69.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 23c | 61.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 76c | 59.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 28c | 54.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 25c | 53.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 64c | 49.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…2bb3backed Under | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…4e03backed Over | 37c | 36.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…3cd3backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 64c | 23.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021d…7b07backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.