Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9f49e5b3d21ac7f09b066c7ae37386bad9382daf6c9f498eab5425161aa8c4d

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cheeki_Breekiof Cheeki_Breeki, L1ga Team
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team	43c	2,657$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,148.92	966	45.1%436 W · 530 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cheeki_Breeki	64c	2,309$1,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.85	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Cheeki_Breeki	36c	1,819$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164.01	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked L1ga Team	64c	709.52$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.09	138	54.3%75 W · 63 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked L1ga Team	6c	667.47$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.82	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-14.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-52%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cheeki_Breeki	53c	446.4$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.85	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team	33c	400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	615	48.8%300 W · 315 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team	41c	379.05$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.62	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed L1ga Team	31c	299.7$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.91	131	45%59 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Cheeki_Breeki	59c	288.01$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.06	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Cheeki_Breeki	37c	227.94$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.49	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed L1ga Team	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed L1ga Team	34c	160.03$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b5…029dbacked L1ga Team	63c	154.89$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.79	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed L1ga Team	64c	152.88$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.84	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Cheeki_Breeki	55c	117.28$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.77	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team	33c	115.38$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.65	207	38.6%80 W · 127 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed L1ga Team	68c	108.77$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.56	68	60.3%41 W · 27 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team	50c	105$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.9	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team	21c	101.42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked L1ga Team	63c	100.29$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.57	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team	48c	99.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Cheeki_Breeki	50c	99.85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.93	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa68c…7369backed L1ga Team	64c	95.44$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Cheeki_Breeki	53c	91.92$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.34	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2d…0fa8backed L1ga Team	25c	89.93$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.42	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked L1ga Team	24c	83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	149	62.4%93 W · 56 L	+21.8wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked Cheeki_Breeki	35c	81.61$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.77	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+126.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked L1ga Team	35c	79.64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.87	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Cheeki_Breeki	64c	76.44$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.52	253	39.1%99 W · 154 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed L1ga Team	43c	71.55$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	260	50.4%131 W · 129 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team	53c	65.48$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Cheeki_Breeki	37c	60.64$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team	22c	60.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.09	245	18.8%46 W · 199 L	-31.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked L1ga Team	67c	59.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.19	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team	26c	59.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed L1ga Team	24c	57.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.82	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Cheeki_Breeki	66c	45.34$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.26	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a8c…cbb0backed Cheeki_Breeki	47c	41.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.96	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.29per pick	55cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed L1ga Team	55c	40.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Cheeki_Breeki	67c	39.9$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.17	105	71.4%75 W · 30 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed L1ga Team	61c	30.72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed L1ga Team	62c	28.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.57	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x050c…b15fbacked L1ga Team	62c	28.37$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d82…9ecdbacked Cheeki_Breeki	79c	24.69$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-2.1wins	-0.53per pick	78cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked L1ga Team	68c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	122	63.9%78 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Bthis page
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event