Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57f3a9f9896c3952c563b173992331d9426c1fd5a6c0b59f20b520d73f948cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cheeki_Breekiof Cheeki_Breeki, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 9c | 2,425$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.27 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 78c | 2,296$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.71 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 43c | 1,132$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 1,062$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.92 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Cheeki_Breeki | 51c | 989.93$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.36 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team | 55c | 746.1$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 32c | 641.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 393.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.86 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 77c | 393.17$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 25c | 320.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 314.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Cheeki_Breeki | 75c | 195.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 66c | 122.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 97.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…1fc4backed L1ga Team | 40c | 73.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 68.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 78c | 61.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Cheeki_Breeki | 48c | 61.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 69c | 58.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked L1ga Team | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked L1ga Team | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cheeki_Breeki | 73c | 38.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team | 30c | 38.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 49c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 72c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BCheeki_Breeki won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.