Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c7dc709da2e569a807acc9cc2fd31ca621908caf2c84b404715bfc0b97ae8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cheeki_Breekiof Cheeki_Breeki, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 77c | 4,758$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.96 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 4,651$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.08 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 4,167$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.71 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Cheeki_Breeki | 48c | 4,067$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.91 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 2,311$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.31 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 2,164$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed L1ga Team | 40c | 1,971$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.28 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 1,795$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 1,295$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.96 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.68 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 67c | 804.12$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.77 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…bf13backed L1ga Team | 50c | 776$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team | 48c | 761.53$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.47 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 714.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 36c | 687.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Cheeki_Breeki | 73c | 563.78$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 540.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.91 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…e2afbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 47c | 458.75$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 48c | 452.25$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.21 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 421.84$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed L1ga Team | 54c | 394.79$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team | 40c | 390.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked L1ga Team | 56c | 353.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed L1ga Team | 45c | 334.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed L1ga Team | 48c | 332.49$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 51c | 296.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked L1ga Team | 48c | 286.82$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked L1ga Team | 56c | 280.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 56c | 275.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed L1ga Team | 17c | 275.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 47c | 243.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team | 50c | 198.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 189.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Cheeki_Breeki | 79c | 187.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 52c | 187.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…3883backed Cheeki_Breeki | 51c | 184.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed L1ga Team | 39c | 177.85$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 56c | 173.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 163.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 49c | 160.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 152.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed L1ga Team | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 53c | 144.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 67c | 112.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed L1ga Team | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 77.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 75.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 34c | 72.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed L1ga Team | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 38c | 68.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 68.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cheeki_Breeki | 72c | 57.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 53.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Cheeki_Breeki | 54c | 46.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Cheeki_Breeki | 41c | 46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 48c | 45.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Cheeki_Breeki | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed L1ga Team | 50c | 35.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…9e46backed Cheeki_Breeki | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…8a59backed L1ga Team | 44c | 30.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Cheeki_Breeki | 67c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BCheeki_Breeki won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerCheeki_Breeki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.