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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION76c13,842$10,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.0233746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Heroic23c8,607$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.542650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic20c5,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Heroic16c4,138$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4410618.9%20 W · 86 L-14.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Heroic24c4,085$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.361957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+51.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Heroic6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805034%17 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION77c2,308$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7717452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed PARIVISION76c2,077$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4421146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed PARIVISION77c1,621$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2734860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic23c1,542$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36033541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Heroic22c1,499$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.749428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32256852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION78c1,265$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.3342145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed PARIVISION76c1,174$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.743969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Heroic23c1,145$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2546240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d6…90dfbacked PARIVISION79c992.25$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.42360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic22c953.89$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8669835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Heroic23c787.92$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.229341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION78c619.31$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4432951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION77c592.5$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2677941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Heroic23c578.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1317146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION76c565.76$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7826540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Heroic23c559.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9837549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Heroic22c539.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic24c536.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6471342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Heroic24c520$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.86936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic6c511.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4937832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Heroic11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heroic17c486.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.577440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic22c476.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8534544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Heroic23c450.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6753634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ef…6d66backed Heroic11c435.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.332445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed PARIVISION76c419.26$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed PARIVISION75c413.92$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4815653.8%84 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…9476backed Heroic24c401.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.425541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Heroic9c389.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.132441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Heroic25c382$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.531644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Heroic22c362.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.753141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heroic7c361.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8419242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed PARIVISION79c345.53$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5511150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Heroic23c301.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3212740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Heroic22c299.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9921045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed PARIVISION77c295.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0541050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Heroic24c278.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8157735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic23c276.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed PARIVISION76c263.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2614854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heroic7c246.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3110833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed PARIVISION76c206.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic19c202.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked PARIVISION76c197.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.317361.6%45 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked PARIVISION76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6938167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic25c166.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5225348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION77c157.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.311,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION77c156.86$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.081,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed PARIVISION77c147.93$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.025850%29 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed PARIVISION76c129.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b5…029dbacked PARIVISION76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.122157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed PARIVISION76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1260660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x611c…a931backed PARIVISION76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2528062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da7…b914backed PARIVISION77c122.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.282850%14 W · 14 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed PARIVISION76c122.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4910961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a82…9ff1backed Heroic24c108.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Heroic10c99.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1120740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed PARIVISION76c91.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.953938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Heroic24c90$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.613636%49 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…7e43backed Heroic23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Heroic14c82.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe9e9…48dfbacked Heroic14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Heroic24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0959254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d6…f94abacked PARIVISION78c79.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55682.1%46 W · 10 L+10.0wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed PARIVISION77c76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4822752.9%120 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed PARIVISION77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.253759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Heroic21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.720046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f90…a39fbacked PARIVISION77c69.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0414563.4%92 W · 53 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed PARIVISION78c63.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.925549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a4…ce65backed PARIVISION76c60.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6314858.1%86 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb824…e333backed PARIVISION77c60.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.021656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Heroic24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Heroic24c59.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3221551.6%111 W · 104 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Heroic22c53.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7615544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked PARIVISION75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed PARIVISION76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4586451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed PARIVISION77c51.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.786749.3%33 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91df…fd49backed PARIVISION78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1314868.9%102 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed PARIVISION75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed PARIVISION78c48.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Heroic24c47.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4540844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed PARIVISION77c40.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2710571.4%75 W · 30 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked PARIVISION77c37.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.620954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed PARIVISION78c37.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.257665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION80c32.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.471,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd77…6223backed PARIVISION77c30.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.034665.2%30 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION77c29.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.71,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe55a…14b9backed PARIVISION77c26.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…abc9backed PARIVISION78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.572450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…c252backed PARIVISION79c20.47$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.34949%24 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.