Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11091276aee5b31ad01b6ebb3a6992253d060e2b591153852d8b6ca783d968de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 71c | 23,422$16,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.83 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 72c | 20,550$14,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,773.14 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 29c | 17,432$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.02 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Heroic | 28c | 9,946$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 28c | 8,942$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.43 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Heroic | 6c | 5,403$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Heroic | 6c | 5,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Heroic | 28c | 4,784$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.52 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 72c | 4,468$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.1 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 20c | 4,395$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.6 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 21c | 4,298$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed PARIVISION | 71c | 4,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 3,655$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.31 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Heroic | 29c | 3,303$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic | 29c | 3,303$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.88 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Heroic | 17c | 3,297$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.62 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 28c | 3,061$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,687$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.33 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 29c | 2,182$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.1 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Heroic | 7c | 2,147$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,912$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic | 17c | 1,900$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,750$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic | 20c | 1,490$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,471$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.11 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Heroic | 28c | 1,417$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.46 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 28c | 1,234$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic | 13c | 1,185$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Heroic | 26c | 1,183$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 23c | 1,159$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.13 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 28c | 1,116$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.38 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,106$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.57 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Heroic | 29c | 1,071$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.68 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Heroic | 29c | 1,063$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 27c | 1,058$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed PARIVISION | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Heroic | 28c | 901.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Heroic | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic | 28c | 799.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed PARIVISION | 71c | 730.38$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Heroic | 12c | 630$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Heroic | 27c | 525.01$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.46 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Heroic | 28c | 513.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 72c | 491.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Heroic | 28c | 474.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 28c | 473.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.44 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed PARIVISION | 72c | 409.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 390.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Heroic | 31c | 387.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 367.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…6065backed Heroic | 13c | 358.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 28c | 344.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Heroic | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Heroic | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 329.46$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Heroic | 26c | 325.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 10c | 319.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 19c | 292.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 24c | 291.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Heroic | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Heroic | 7c | 286.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 14c | 275.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed Heroic | 15c | 268$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION | 74c | 267.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 75c | 262.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Heroic | 28c | 259.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic | 26c | 252.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 243.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 19c | 239.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Heroic | 29c | 239.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…7e43backed Heroic | 27c | 218.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 17c | 217.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Heroic | 31c | 216.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…c44ebacked Heroic | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Heroic | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed PARIVISION | 74c | 199.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 199.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 173.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Heroic | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d28…62c8backed Heroic | 30c | 170.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Heroic | 28c | 162$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed PARIVISION | 75c | 160.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…f19abacked Heroic | 29c | 155.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Heroic | 30c | 154.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 70c | 153.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed PARIVISION | 74c | 144.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION | 72c | 138.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Heroic | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Heroic | 29c | 129.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Heroic | 24c | 125.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 21c | 121.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Heroic | 29c | 115.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Heroic | 26c | 113.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.