Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaecc2d078591159fdf22483f57e535284485d557c7a77363a92aa17c895d3d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Heroic | 31c | 19,409$5,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 71c | 19,274$13,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,513.98 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 28c | 10,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 70c | 4,872$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.19 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 29c | 4,787$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.23 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 18c | 4,628$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.16 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 17c | 4,399$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.88 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 4,313$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.54 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 22c | 3,223$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.27 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic | 28c | 3,181$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.63 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 2,826$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 28c | 2,754$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.12 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic | 29c | 2,394$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.12 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 72c | 2,291$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.42 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 66c | 2,226$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.96 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Heroic | 30c | 2,014$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.67 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 2,010$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.46 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,998$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.68 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,995$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.71 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 29c | 1,935$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.26 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,807$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,796$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,790$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.27 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 29c | 1,603$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.94 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Heroic | 29c | 1,587$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.76 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,464$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5f94backed Heroic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 13c | 946.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 15c | 820.69$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic | 22c | 790$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Heroic | 16c | 782$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 28c | 731.61$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic | 28c | 710.63$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 69c | 590.88$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 20c | 578.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION | 74c | 574.91$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 77c | 431.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 369.97$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 359.95$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Heroic | 31c | 358.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Heroic | 29c | 340.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 334.61$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Heroic | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 69c | 324.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 32c | 303.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 296.02$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…748dbacked Heroic | 12c | 271.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Heroic | 9c | 223.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Heroic | 30c | 221.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 72c | 196.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Heroic | 34c | 169.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 29c | 169.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Heroic | 29c | 165.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed PARIVISION | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Heroic | 28c | 142.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 20c | 139.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Heroic | 29c | 127.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed PARIVISION | 72c | 116.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 26c | 111.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed PARIVISION | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 70c | 99.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 99.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Heroic | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Heroic | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Heroic | 29c | 79.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION | 68c | 78.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Heroic | 20c | 75.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…3616backed PARIVISION | 71c | 72.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed PARIVISION | 80c | 70.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd7…6265backed PARIVISION | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Heroic | 24c | 54.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed PARIVISION | 71c | 41.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…d36fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 34.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed PARIVISION | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…65b1backed PARIVISION | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 21.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StagePARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.