TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb66a…800ebacked Heroic31c19,409$5,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,991.112850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION71c19,274$13,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,513.981,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed PARIVISION72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic28c10,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION70c4,872$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.1927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Heroic29c4,787$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic18c4,628$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.162,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Heroic17c4,399$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.8847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION72c4,313$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.5432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic22c3,223$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.2751751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic28c3,181$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.6341944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION79c2,826$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.567043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic28c2,754$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.121,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic29c2,394$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.1216541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION72c2,291$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.4279959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION66c2,226$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.9643344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Heroic30c2,014$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.6780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked PARIVISION73c2,010$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4642145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Heroic28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION67c1,998$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.6810743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION78c1,995$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7145046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic29c1,935$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.2656852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION70c1,807$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION68c1,796$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION72c1,790$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.2761745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic29c1,603$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9464744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Heroic29c1,587$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.7637945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed PARIVISION71c1,464$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4425248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked PARIVISION72c1,000$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28518065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76d4…5f94backed Heroic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic13c946.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.031,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Heroic15c820.69$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2443049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic22c790$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.788539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Heroic16c782$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5511131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic28c731.61$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic28c710.63$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9869644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4848539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Heroic29c660.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION69c590.88$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1760349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic20c578.82$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION74c574.91$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9272035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION77c431.35$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6534667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked PARIVISION71c369.97$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.45345.3%24 W · 29 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c09…8a0bbacked PARIVISION72c359.95$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.793158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Heroic31c358.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.756949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed Heroic29c340.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7812638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked PARIVISION66c334.61$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7713850%69 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Heroic29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.744643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION69c324.68$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic32c303.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION77c296.02$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.352,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed PARIVISION72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3091…748dbacked Heroic12c271.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4518923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Heroic9c223.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.121,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Heroic30c221.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0757735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Heroic16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION72c196.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0647951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Heroic34c169.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic29c169.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.819742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Heroic29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8720452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed PARIVISION66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.469749.5%48 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed Heroic28c142.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.947152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Heroic20c139.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.721,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Heroic29c127.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3716437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa77…bf95backed PARIVISION72c116.95$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7425953.3%138 W · 121 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic26c111.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed PARIVISION69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION70c99.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.761,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked PARIVISION70c99.11$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7336761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Heroic29c95.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7640745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Heroic30c81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Heroic29c79.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1958250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed PARIVISION68c78.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Heroic20c75.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe8c9…3616backed PARIVISION71c72.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1716350.9%83 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed PARIVISION80c70.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3220858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dd7…6265backed PARIVISION70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7176…c511backed Heroic24c54.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.885156.9%29 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed PARIVISION70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked PARIVISION72c49.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7666848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed PARIVISION71c41.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8618452.2%96 W · 88 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4583…d36fbacked PARIVISION72c34.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.649053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed PARIVISION72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.655567.3%37 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa15…65b1backed PARIVISION72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…65c5backed PARIVISION72c21.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16560%39 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked PARIVISION72c17.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.