TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes68c20,000$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9731643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No32c19,152$6,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,128.617572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No34c5,552$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.7133251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No21c5,456$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.325364.2%34 W · 19 L+9.7wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c3,893$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No25c2,696$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.1650661.3%310 W · 196 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes71c2,108$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.61060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No29c2,085$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+152.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No29c2,010$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.943618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56016647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4188536.5%31 W · 54 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes72c1,017$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.754165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9914422.9%33 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No28c928.37$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.576944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes73c818.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes69c781.34$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c760.78$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.285,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes75c710.67$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No26c634.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8226659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes67c613.52$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2863644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc281…7ebbbacked Yes76c577.18$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed No26c453.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.043426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02be…d803backed Yes78c438.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes73c412.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.852157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes72c276.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1614446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No30c262$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.211549.6%57 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fdd…69ebbacked Yes77c259.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes76c245.54$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.544456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No32c221.9$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.891,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Yes71c219.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No28c199.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7231226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c162$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Yes63c156$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.672152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Yes71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes63c149.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes77c145.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3640242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes64c141.34$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.893060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes75c134$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…ea43backed Yes69c120.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1474…3454backed Yes73c120.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No13c119.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No25c111$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.758046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes52c110$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.81241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No31c102.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9612562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes71c98.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.789240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.562564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7227133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No29c89.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb137…4aafbacked Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No29c83.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3722652.7%119 W · 107 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c74$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0832936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x192f…352bbacked Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf914…4a78backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No33c57.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No34c57.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x830e…cc6bbacked Yes74c56.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c6…e75bbacked Yes66c55.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd70…db6bbacked Yes72c55.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Yes72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.563141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd14c…c9f0backed Yes73c54.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6119239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1113062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4f…df6fbacked Yes70c43.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6d…a980backed Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Yes70c43.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes70c42.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.735846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes62c41.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes66c41.58$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.142343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.712433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes74c40.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-54.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked No27c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…82abbacked Yes68c36.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…fb30backed Yes57c34.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes74c34.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0815158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.266038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241c…5407backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed1d…327dbacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.574729.8%14 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5e…6fecbacked Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab4…9606backed Yes68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes72c21.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b5…029dbacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b4…8194backed Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.