Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9077559cc10a1686ff8bb11c72b855ea4b7428bf0625b19cce154b18b13aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Rune Eaters | 2c | 11,039$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 3,697$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 2,897$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.84 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 2,750$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.82 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 1,806$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.43 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed VP.Prodigy | 78c | 1,725$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 1,683$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.59 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 1,551$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.54 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 1,101$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.03 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 1,039$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.31 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 1,026$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 987.03$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.83 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 986.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.42 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 890.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.77 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 725.25$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 725.02$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.06 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 678.88$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.61 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 651.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.53 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 628.8$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.03 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 611.78$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.89 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 593.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 591$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 578.41$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.82 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed VP.Prodigy | 47c | 569.6$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.68 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 565.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 563$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 560.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 554.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 549.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 548$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Rune Eaters | 7c | 525$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 503.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…e005backed VP.Prodigy | 49c | 500.64$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 477.03$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.76 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…c3f1backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 470.82$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 435.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 374.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.81 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 373.64$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 345.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters | 7c | 317.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 304.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 299.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 290.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked VP.Prodigy | 60c | 273.31$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 272.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 264.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 257.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…e8bfbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 246.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed VP.Prodigy | 53c | 244.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed VP.Prodigy | 37c | 244.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 242.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 234.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 225.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…3ed3backed VP.Prodigy | 67c | 223.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 220.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…b88fbacked VP.Prodigy | 49c | 218.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 205.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 202.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.71 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked VP.Prodigy | 50c | 199.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 190.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 188.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 185.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 177.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 20c | 166.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked VP.Prodigy | 66c | 165.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed VP.Prodigy | 32c | 164.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 161.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 159.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…e8f9backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 156.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 156.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked VP.Prodigy | 65c | 152.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 151.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 150.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 149.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed VP.Prodigy | 42c | 147.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 145.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba61…55f8backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 144.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 136.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 134.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 128.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 123.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 118.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 116.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked VP.Prodigy | 45c | 107.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked VP.Prodigy | 49c | 107.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 103.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed VP.Prodigy | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…9827backed VP.Prodigy | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 98.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 97.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9550backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 88.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 83.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked VP.Prodigy | 32c | 82.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 81.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.