Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a024096d041369eb9af41521c3baaddbb39f2f36b1bcb10bcb7384226f5a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Cheeki_Breeki, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 15,554$6,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.27 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Cheeki_Breeki | 8c | 12,981$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.28 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed L1ga Team | 57c | 12,733$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.58 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked L1ga Team | 61c | 8,113$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.64 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 57c | 4,092$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.17 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Cheeki_Breeki | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 2,927$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.4 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 3c | 2,686$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 58c | 2,661$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.06 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 2,147$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.19 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 2,096$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 2,026$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.44 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 2,025$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 39c | 1,706$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.17 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 37c | 1,487$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.78 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Cheeki_Breeki | 26c | 1,335$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 1,059$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 1,056$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.57 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 902.93$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed L1ga Team | 58c | 823.83$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.64 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cheeki_Breeki | 41c | 799.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.75 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 715.75$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.01 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 505.1$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Cheeki_Breeki | 3c | 488.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…555dbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 392.93$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 59c | 334.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 284.27$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…27f6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 8c | 276.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed L1ga Team | 80c | 249.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Cheeki_Breeki | 34c | 244.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 227.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked L1ga Team | 57c | 216.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed L1ga Team | 61c | 212.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 211.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team | 56c | 169.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d653backed L1ga Team | 57c | 159.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 39c | 153.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 146.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 37c | 134.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 134.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked L1ga Team | 56c | 128.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team | 57c | 124.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed L1ga Team | 57c | 124.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…0c26backed Cheeki_Breeki | 10c | 108.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed L1ga Team | 59c | 103.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…e877backed L1ga Team | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cheeki_Breeki | 29c | 96.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 59c | 95.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Cheeki_Breeki | 44c | 93.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 79.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cheeki_Breeki | 27c | 78.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed L1ga Team | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 72.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Cheeki_Breeki | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed L1ga Team | 57c | 65.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…6b19backed L1ga Team | 59c | 63.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked L1ga Team | 57c | 58.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed L1ga Team | 61c | 47.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 45.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 36.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked L1ga Team | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed L1ga Team | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 25.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed L1ga Team | 65c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Cheeki_Breeki (+1.5)L1ga Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.