Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9acceed37434b8f710aa34797a3c6a7c67359fbe27e31f71af10d63668bcaab5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Yellow Submarine, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 45c | 14,563$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,962.99 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 11,783$6,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 47c | 7,781$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.72 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 7,544$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.34 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 67c | 3,780$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.92 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed REKONIX | 68c | 3,582$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.79 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 3,213$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yellow Submarine | 5c | 2,531$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.46 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 67c | 1,942$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.18 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 1,817$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 1,607$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,394$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.05 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 1,210$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 1,209$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.79 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 42c | 1,175$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.52 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 1,145$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.01 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,119$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.73 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 1,008$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.54 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 989.22$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.53 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 959.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 952.46$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 824.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 800.02$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 679.15$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked REKONIX | 39c | 646.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.08 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed REKONIX | 40c | 637.7$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.62 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 619.57$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed REKONIX | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 593.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.35 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 32c | 553.18$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Yellow Submarine | 20c | 529$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 522.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 482.34$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.45 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed REKONIX | 38c | 480$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 62c | 470.69$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed REKONIX | 43c | 456.91$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.84 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked REKONIX | 55c | 454.72$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed REKONIX | 38c | 438.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.47 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…4f23backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed REKONIX | 40c | 399.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 397.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 36c | 395$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed REKONIX | 42c | 391$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 385$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 324.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 322.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 320$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 302.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked REKONIX | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 286.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 276.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 265.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 264.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 260.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 248$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.7 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 246.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed REKONIX | 67c | 232.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed REKONIX | 40c | 217.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed REKONIX | 47c | 211.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked REKONIX | 69c | 209.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked REKONIX | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Yellow Submarine | 16c | 192.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 191.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 188.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 182.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a9…2385backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 178$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 171.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 169.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f3…1cc4backed REKONIX | 41c | 168.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 165.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 162.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 49c | 158.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed REKONIX | 63c | 158.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 149.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 142$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed REKONIX | 40c | 138.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 130.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed REKONIX | 41c | 129$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed REKONIX | 38c | 125.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 115.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 114.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed REKONIX | 42c | 114$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.