Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda5244f38bb0d20c42930787e4e966903c09b5b7e654ca07f8327accf9a11b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Yellow Submarine, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 12,502$6,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,140.39 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked REKONIX | 51c | 9,617$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 50c | 7,890$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.72 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 49c | 7,575$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.68 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 50c | 6,189$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.22 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked REKONIX | 53c | 5,324$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.98 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 4,200$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.02 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 49c | 4,180$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 49c | 4,166$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 3,484$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.97 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 3,171$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.31 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 46c | 3,075$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 2,891$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.27 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 2,833$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.01 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 2,808$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.23 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 2,519$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 2,186$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.77 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,562$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.29 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,543$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.16 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,331$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,256$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.24 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,200$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 1,180$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.38 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,089$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.19 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 61c | 1,051$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.8 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 1,014$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.36 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,011$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.41 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 899.77$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.88 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 819.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 803.25$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 757.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed REKONIX | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 697.6$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 52c | 686.25$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 666$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.98 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 653.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 650.8$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.4 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine | 11c | 637$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 614.18$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yellow Submarine | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 599.99$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 579.91$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 505.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 51c | 502.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 500$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 42c | 484.29$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine | 14c | 482.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 448.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 432$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 428.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…33e0backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 415$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 407.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.88 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yellow Submarine | 11c | 395$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 380.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 374.73$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 371.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 27c | 360$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 349.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 342.39$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.77 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 48c | 319.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked REKONIX | 51c | 298.04$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked REKONIX | 69c | 288.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 253.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 235.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 234.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 222.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 206$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 43c | 204$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked REKONIX | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 192.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 186.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yellow Submarine | 15c | 172.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yellow Submarine | 31c | 171$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed REKONIX | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed REKONIX | 54c | 161$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed REKONIX | 54c | 161$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 156.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 154.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked REKONIX | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed REKONIX | 77c | 152$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed REKONIX | 33c | 149.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 50c | 144.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 43c | 123.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 123.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yellow Submarine | 14c | 118.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked REKONIX | 52c | 112.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 109.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked REKONIX | 38c | 104.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.