Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb3758386dbd6c722c9a8f15deb08bf9f47cca8c350486b127230c0b21264f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Yellow Submarine, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 47c | 22,573$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,051.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 12,823$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,685.52 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 10,000$5,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed REKONIX | 57c | 6,301$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.97 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 2,765$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.76 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 2,239$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.4 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 2,020$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.49 | 559 | 51.9%290 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 1,946$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked REKONIX | 59c | 1,876$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.43 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked REKONIX | 70c | 1,859$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,821$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.68 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 60c | 1,800$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed REKONIX | 54c | 1,705$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.65 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 1,514$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.9 | 801 | 59.1%473 W · 328 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 1,422$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.77 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,400$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yellow Submarine | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 1,300$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.1 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed REKONIX | 67c | 1,239$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 1,138$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.91 | 956 | 42.1%402 W · 554 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,127$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.75 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Yellow Submarine | 29c | 1,044$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.76 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked REKONIX | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked REKONIX | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed REKONIX | 57c | 984.86$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.01 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 902.81$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.39 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed REKONIX | 62c | 856.19$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.27 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed REKONIX | 50c | 836$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 42c | 782.63$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked REKONIX | 68c | 737.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 63c | 726.09$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 725.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 719.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 675$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 649.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 641.79$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Yellow Submarine | 2c | 623$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 604.34$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.93 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked REKONIX | 66c | 602.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 563.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.51 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 544.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yellow Submarine | 17c | 539$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 494.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 65c | 431.24$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 417.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked REKONIX | 80c | 406.93$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 80c | 387.6$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 18c | 378$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 358.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 60c | 353.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed Yellow Submarine | 35c | 324.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 55c | 311.12$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked REKONIX | 62c | 301.74$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed REKONIX | 65c | 293.2$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.29 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 287.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 280.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed REKONIX | 66c | 273.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 270.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 268.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 262.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed REKONIX | 57c | 259.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed REKONIX | 59c | 251.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 232.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 222.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Yellow Submarine | 27c | 219.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed REKONIX | 67c | 204$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 162.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 157.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 129.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 48c | 126.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked REKONIX | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed REKONIX | 70c | 120.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked REKONIX | 57c | 119.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 116.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked REKONIX | 68c | 114.13$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 103.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 100.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed REKONIX | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed REKONIX | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…8d00backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 93.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed REKONIX | 66c | 91.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed REKONIX | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 89.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 75c | 84.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 43c | 83.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed REKONIX | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 79.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.