Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085baa36ca37a1008df51f1d48ea246113659651a182eec4488db8b7f8e92e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof L1ga Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x164d…bdb3backed L1ga Team | 2c | 59,842$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed L1ga Team | 41c | 8,009$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.68 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked REKONIX | 58c | 5,306$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 59c | 2,728$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed REKONIX | 59c | 2,019$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.36 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 59c | 2,003$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 41c | 1,950$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked REKONIX | 59c | 1,675$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.58 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked L1ga Team | 42c | 1,506$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.17 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed L1ga Team | 43c | 1,074$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed REKONIX | 58c | 1,066$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.36 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed L1ga Team | 23c | 819.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 68c | 736.75$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 41c | 684.17$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 75c | 534.07$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed L1ga Team | 45c | 516.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX | 62c | 484.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 59c | 396.3$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 333.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked REKONIX | 57c | 331.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed L1ga Team | 45c | 329.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed REKONIX | 55c | 326.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed REKONIX | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed L1ga Team | 42c | 211.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 32c | 201.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed L1ga Team | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed L1ga Team | 43c | 167.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…eca5backed L1ga Team | 43c | 156.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked REKONIX | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked REKONIX | 52c | 142.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team | 42c | 124.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked REKONIX | 54c | 112.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…21b7backed L1ga Team | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 11c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed L1ga Team | 32c | 103.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked REKONIX | 60c | 100.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed REKONIX | 56c | 92.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed REKONIX | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed REKONIX | 54c | 83.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REKONIX | 80c | 76.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked L1ga Team | 22c | 67.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked REKONIX | 55c | 66.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed L1ga Team | 44c | 64.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed L1ga Team | 43c | 62.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 60.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed L1ga Team | 42c | 58.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX | 58c | 58.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed REKONIX | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 72c | 48.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed REKONIX | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed L1ga Team | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed REKONIX | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed L1ga Team | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed REKONIX | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed REKONIX | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 23.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.