Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff1c94ee7a16718fd400ad6f782c80c495ba3e4ed01380f797d3c67763cd9e15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof L1ga Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 27c | 2,890$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.79 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 2,107$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.62 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 73c | 2,104$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,893$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed REKONIX | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.59 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 55c | 1,464$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked REKONIX | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 788.17$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 45c | 779.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 30c | 778$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed REKONIX | 62c | 709.27$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 54c | 606.14$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.95 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 34c | 500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed REKONIX | 59c | 423.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked REKONIX | 51c | 367.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed REKONIX | 51c | 356.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.74 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 22c | 342$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 36c | 264.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 57c | 257.8$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked REKONIX | 69c | 236.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 27c | 197.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 54c | 185.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 55c | 182.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed L1ga Team | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 58c | 171.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed L1ga Team | 14c | 158.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 16c | 150.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 43c | 143.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked REKONIX | 57c | 143.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 21c | 122.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team | 44c | 115$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 57c | 112.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 17c | 94.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 46c | 94.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 69.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 41.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 56c | 25.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed REKONIX | 50c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BREKONIX won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.