Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdefae20b6e9b411bd02bc83c835120a7b06d17accf852476a9b8ce4d9d3039e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof L1ga Team, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 6,755$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.33 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 6,367$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.57 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 61c | 5,392$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.13 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REKONIX | 65c | 4,788$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.48 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed L1ga Team | 33c | 4,727$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.87 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked REKONIX | 68c | 3,679$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.87 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed REKONIX | 58c | 2,144$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.56 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 30c | 2,019$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed L1ga Team | 37c | 1,820$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.52 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked L1ga Team | 19c | 1,763$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 63c | 1,507$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.36 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed L1ga Team | 48c | 1,084$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 60c | 966.3$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.81 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked REKONIX | 77c | 962.54$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REKONIX | 64c | 800$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed REKONIX | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 661.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 636.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked L1ga Team | 41c | 629.68$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed L1ga Team | 38c | 624$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 7c | 529.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 63c | 454.62$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed REKONIX | 63c | 450.79$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.79 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 71c | 387.56$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked REKONIX | 63c | 382.36$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 39c | 374$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…859ebacked L1ga Team | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed REKONIX | 63c | 310.58$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed REKONIX | 64c | 310.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 63c | 310$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed L1ga Team | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked REKONIX | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked REKONIX | 62c | 266.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 29c | 253.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked REKONIX | 56c | 228$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed L1ga Team | 42c | 201.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 22c | 186.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed REKONIX | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed REKONIX | 66c | 151.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 61c | 148.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX | 58c | 136.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team | 40c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REKONIX | 63c | 121.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked REKONIX | 60c | 118.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REKONIX | 73c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed REKONIX | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed REKONIX | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked REKONIX | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed REKONIX | 69c | 56.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…eccabacked L1ga Team | 39c | 56.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed REKONIX | 62c | 56.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed L1ga Team | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked REKONIX | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 36c | 44.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked L1ga Team | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed REKONIX | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 23.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked REKONIX | 62c | 21.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed REKONIX | 68c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group BREKONIX won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.