Ukraine · resolved market
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d8241fbe9308ba7fcea8842484c422ff86ead62180b61792e3ea0e9c02f3a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,000 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 77c | 2,020$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…1720backed No | 10c | 2,001$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e3cfbacked No | 5c | 1,850$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…7ad3backed Yes | 78c | 1,276$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 1,188$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…912abacked No | 10c | 1,170$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 66c | 933.04$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 22c | 723.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 75c | 712.95$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 73c | 696.61$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…6ff7backed No | 7c | 553$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…2b9dbacked Yes | 75c | 525.13$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…5b9abacked Yes | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 455.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 80c | 374.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 12c | 367.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 12c | 356.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 13c | 352.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed Yes | 79c | 342.54$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3120backed No | 7c | 334.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 74c | 330.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 315.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked Yes | 61c | 307.57$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…9acabacked Yes | 73c | 304.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 300.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394f…6288backed No | 34c | 296.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…02a5backed No | 31c | 269.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 268.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 15c | 268.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 266.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 16c | 259.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb921…bea5backed No | 32c | 253.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 20c | 250.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 71c | 231.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…3a1ebacked Yes | 75c | 223.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 58c | 211.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…5629backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 62c | 187.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 14c | 178.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…545fbacked No | 6c | 173.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 166.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 12c | 163.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…1134backed Yes | 79c | 162.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d15…106dbacked Yes | 38c | 157$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…bd7abacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ae4abacked Yes | 76c | 148.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…365ebacked Yes | 69c | 145.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…ea92backed Yes | 38c | 145$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…ab69backed Yes | 71c | 141.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…0fe0backed Yes | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae3…2809backed Yes | 38c | 138$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 14c | 135.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…abc2backed Yes | 75c | 134.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…d674backed No | 20c | 130.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…b6f1backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…755cbacked Yes | 78c | 127.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 21c | 126.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 10c | 126.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…e505backed Yes | 38c | 126$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…78e4backed Yes | 68c | 122.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 122.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 15c | 120.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3288…73fabacked Yes | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 118.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…bb8fbacked No | 25c | 118.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccae…8455backed No | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…59afbacked No | 16c | 111.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04d…cbd6backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e77…21a9backed Yes | 57c | 102.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…a228backed Yes | 80c | 100.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…a037backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…11babacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…31e2backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…bd00backed No | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…f4dabacked No | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f3…1a7abacked No | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…f845backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…976fbacked No | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…caffbacked No | 62c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…5e72backed No | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…27bbbacked No | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 30c | 85.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…4c9bbacked No | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…9709backed No | 62c | 81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 80.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 18c | 75.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…2323backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d5…27f2backed No | 62c | 68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…a460backed No | 22c | 67.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 80c | 66.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…6fa8backed No | 52c | 65.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…4116backed Yes | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…42eabacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…62f4backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.