TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ursaof Ursa, Brute
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9cb…396dbacked Brute45c3,492$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.271250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Brute27c3,486$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.471,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ursa73c2,999$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.2151252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa74c2,907$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.637,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked Brute49c2,729$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.2914857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Ursa50c2,502$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.4630726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Brute32c2,444$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Ursa68c2,380$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.566243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Brute48c2,138$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.121655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute29c1,502$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.972,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brute26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed Ursa72c1,473$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.011050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Ursa55c1,319$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.2433237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Ursa74c1,195$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3914971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Brute29c1,133$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.875,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed Brute44c990.6$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Brute10c905.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.033,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Ursa69c769.42$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.341,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Brute23c677.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8319543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Ursa64c613.2$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.893641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Brute31c595.68$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.812,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Brute31c594.26$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.184,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Ursa55c578.95$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5631852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Brute24c514.11$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.956,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Brute25c477.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3843640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa60c469.7$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.561,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Brute59c457.86$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6820349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Ursa57c425.49$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.812832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Ursa71c424.68$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2410247.1%48 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Brute25c407.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.784032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Brute20c372.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3711638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Ursa61c365.6$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x701c…fa14backed Brute61c345.83$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.611650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed Brute59c331.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.073345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Ursa50c232.8$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.415142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Brute27c226.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Brute45c216.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6815045.3%68 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Brute28c214.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8833044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Brute27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Ursa72c198.71$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2657358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d5…306dbacked Ursa78c194.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ursa74c187.33$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8224939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Brute54c178.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2698856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787d…aecdbacked Ursa72c171.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.75466.7%36 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Brute29c169.02$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.022,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Ursa60c165.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.434,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Brute31c159.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3920646.6%96 W · 110 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Brute26c157.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3365946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Ursa58c149.29$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0991648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcdcb…b106backed Brute27c148.06$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Brute27c144$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8813049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Brute21c137.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed Brute36c135.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.122227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Brute30c134.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4261154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1d…b7cabacked Brute13c123.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Ursa71c119.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8218850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Brute26c116.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6495642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…a9e1backed Brute50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55265.4%34 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Brute26c114.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.811,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b88…8b2dbacked Ursa75c108.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.482556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Ursa76c105.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6440652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7858backed Brute44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.993616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9066…fb7ebacked Brute54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brute28c94.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.712,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Ursa72c88.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9530951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaf…24f8backed Brute33c87.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Ursa67c86.34$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811341.6%47 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ursa65c84.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Brute32c83.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8730031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed Ursa56c80.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3322256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Brute17c76.02$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.013850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Ursa75c75.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9415157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Brute43c73.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.864,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Ursa51c72.75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7672139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa61c70.62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6533950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Ursa72c68.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2120258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae3…b146backed Ursa73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ursa58c63.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6171951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d02…0a13backed Brute45c61.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Ursa68c60.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.465949.2%29 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute35c60.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.175,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ec…1d52backed Brute28c54.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.252250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Ursa56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.951,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Ursa54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Ursa60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Brute41c49.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.169964.6%64 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Ursa70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.636855.9%38 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab18…0c26backed Brute35c42.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Ursa63c40.48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.069347.3%44 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719c…9257backed Ursa75c37.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Ursa62c36.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.717257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b4…9428backed Ursa75c32.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.212050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Ursa56c31.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.880741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7035…4c47backed Ursa57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca6…5045backed Ursa56c29.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Ursa65c29.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Ursa62c29.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2439353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Brute58c28.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2420059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514f…1fa1backed Ursa59c24.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.042152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa71c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.