TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lilmixof STATE, Lilmix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Lilmix28c6,270$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.7130726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked STATE66c2,376$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.092,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked STATE54c1,318$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.054,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed STATE1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Lilmix38c965.58$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.345735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa26…6851backed STATE27c956.69$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed STATE60c808.48$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked STATE70c726$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.241054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed STATE66c649.44$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.141,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed STATE45c642.06$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1322252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix56c638.87$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.256,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed STATE63c620.3$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9145465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a88…a386backed STATE40c598.18$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.592227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix58c558.27$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.255,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix70c530.93$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.397,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked STATE33c517.33$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.414334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix35c510.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.325,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb62e…ae6bbacked STATE63c504.42$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.784447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked STATE71c470.31$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.921,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Lilmix32c430.76$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9139245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed STATE34c411.88$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.091,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked STATE10c357.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7825944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed STATE57c344.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.793345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked STATE46c342.09$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7327848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed STATE45c281.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7772139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Lilmix32c279.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.99551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed STATE60c235.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e6f…3231backed Lilmix76c229.64$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.113458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed STATE65c225.17$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3649143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Lilmix73c197.66$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9740652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed STATE40c193.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.311,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa8…b715backed Lilmix79c190.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix31c190.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.842,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Lilmix30c182.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8329934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Lilmix34c169.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8615142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed STATE24c162.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.626747.8%32 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lilmix45c154.23$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.434,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked STATE65c148.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed STATE69c140.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.674,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked STATE47c133.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6691648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed STATE35c130.53$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1620258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e1…ebbdbacked Lilmix75c126.64$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Lilmix38c124.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9431852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Lilmix38c120.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6841938.9%163 W · 256 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Lilmix40c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb4…7c31backed STATE57c101.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed STATE57c94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5830951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked STATE50c91.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Lilmix47c90.22$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8138753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix31c86.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.952,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed STATE34c83.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.821,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Lilmix52c81.82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed STATE15c72.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8928844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed STATE41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9410554.3%57 W · 48 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc5e…f707backed STATE19c61.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Lilmix69c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7525753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked STATE35c56.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9411952.1%62 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked STATE39c49.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Lilmix41c49.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2613450%67 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked STATE31c45.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7921623.6%51 W · 165 L-27.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked STATE45c42.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed STATE29c41.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0917257.6%99 W · 73 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked STATE59c39.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2770038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb00…fda1backed STATE65c37.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4741147.7%196 W · 215 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Lilmix40c36.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7520150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Lilmix71c34.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0323150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0077…44a7backed STATE47c32.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.424537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed STATE60c32.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5218043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Lilmix45c31.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed STATE67c30.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7655749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381b…e2d3backed STATE80c30$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1704…2e46backed STATE66c29.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.592259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked STATE59c28.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5839353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed STATE62c28.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x253b…6ca8backed STATE73c26.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6812533.6%42 W · 83 L-12.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d33…3701backed Lilmix75c26.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b1…b066backed Lilmix79c23.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.894959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5357…3c32backed Lilmix48c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+100.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91aa…4679backed STATE69c21.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.722161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18d…9c5bbacked STATE52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4715951.6%82 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Lilmix79c13.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.915157%86 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.