Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc77249431d1846d84060cdcff50768ba6c6b12c9149cc94deca62a07e79c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 69c | 3,638$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.68 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 2,791$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 71c | 2,677$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 2,650$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 1,787$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 1,080$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.66 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 1,036$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.35 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 714$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed 1win | 69c | 590.82$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f3c6backed 1win | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed 1win | 67c | 485.93$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 71c | 427.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 414.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 1win | 68c | 390.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 321$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 308.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 301.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 275.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 253.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed 1win | 68c | 252.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed 1win | 69c | 249.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 229.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 77c | 225.82$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 172$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 143.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 122.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 67c | 119.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…42ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 116.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked 1win | 70c | 94.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…7b60backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 91.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 86.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 67.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 55.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fff…6dd1backed 1win | 71c | 54.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 47.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 71c | 31.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed 1win | 69c | 31.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed 1win | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…4679backed 1win | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked 1win | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed 1win | 74c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.