Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d940c0ba7133bdb4269f558b367c96af7092e2fdf3ea0d4e60d8e1600fc10d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 68c | 4,434$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 2,442$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 2,119$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.37 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 65c | 1,840$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.06 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 65c | 1,546$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,189$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.43 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 1,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 1,038$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.66 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 961$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.54 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 942.62$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 66c | 734.2$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed 1win | 63c | 712.75$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 69c | 706.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 583.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed 1win | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 494.8$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 492$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked 1win | 50c | 460.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked 1win | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 1win | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 277.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 70c | 268.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 70c | 260.3$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 59c | 233.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed 1win | 71c | 212.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 75c | 199.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 77c | 179.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 159.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 70c | 155.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 148.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 67c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 128.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 126.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 79c | 118.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 115.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 68c | 112.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 1win | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…854bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 79.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 67.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked 1win | 76c | 63.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed 1win | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed 1win | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 1win | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked 1win | 69c | 37.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1win | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked 1win | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 1win | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed 1win | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 1win | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 1win | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 1win | 66c | 22.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked 1win | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 304 | 58.6%178 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A1win won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.