Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077a4aa3cb121c8bffe2da85c7d21d1049c1de26537d2039f7fb192002132e68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof Nemiga Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Nemiga Gaming | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed Nemiga Gaming | 0c | 10,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 8,935$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.27 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 5,831$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 3,120$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 1win | 79c | 2,765$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.91 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.6 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,486$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.35 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed 1win | 68c | 1,111$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed 1win | 76c | 969$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked 1win | 76c | 929.25$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.02 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 1win | 78c | 841.79$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 1win | 76c | 694.71$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 67c | 676.95$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 654.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 75c | 611.28$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 592.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 73c | 581.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked 1win | 71c | 573.62$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 433.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 417.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 368.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 335.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 71c | 288.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 264.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked 1win | 67c | 254.49$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 254.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 243.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 1win | 66c | 212.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 197$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 193.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1win | 76c | 178.21$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed 1win | 66c | 169$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 164.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Nemiga Gaming | 8c | 146$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 143.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 124.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed 1win | 73c | 123.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 117.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked 1win | 59c | 72.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed 1win | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1win | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 1win | 66c | 64.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked 1win | 76c | 63.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 61.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked 1win | 60c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked 1win | 54c | 53.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed 1win | 64c | 50.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 1win | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed 1win | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed 1win | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed 1win | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed 1win | 59c | 38.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1win | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed 1win | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed 1win | 70c | 29.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked 1win | 74c | 27.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 1win | 77c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed 1win | 54c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed 1win | 65c | 26.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked 1win | 70c | 24.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed 1win | 79c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A1win won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.