CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e69e55fdf653fffaeea2a540f7bdacf0a3f731abeb17b28e0409dad11131101

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: RUSTECof RUSTEC, Brute
Resolved: Apr 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,299 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked RUSTEC	53c	6,222$3,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,917.75	756	52.6%398 W · 358 L	+27.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked RUSTEC	78c	2,964$2,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.78	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Brute	10c	2,835$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.11	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Brute	46c	2,475$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.54	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed RUSTEC	54c	1,497$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.73	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Brute	46c	1,470$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.07	207	43%89 W · 118 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Brute	46c	1,338$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.43	316	42.1%133 W · 183 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Brute	47c	1,275$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.73	462	43.3%200 W · 262 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Brute	34c	1,089$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.66	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed RUSTEC	62c	979.18$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.03	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed RUSTEC	59c	926.67$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.13	203	58.6%119 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked RUSTEC	55c	829.84$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.43	844	54.3%458 W · 386 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Brute	50c	806.84$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.37	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Brute	38c	719.19$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.74	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed RUSTEC	56c	670.02$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.1	608	48%292 W · 316 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Brute	46c	567.47$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.55	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Brute	26c	536.67$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.45	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed RUSTEC	54c	520.37$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.29	454	65.9%299 W · 155 L	+20.8wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb62e…ae6bbacked Brute	49c	493.8$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.36	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Brute	47c	486.93$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.63	332	37%123 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa382…d301backed Brute	46c	483.8$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.55	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed RUSTEC	51c	471.18$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.87	434	55.1%239 W · 195 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC	59c	464.04$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.26	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Brute	46c	410.89$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.36	783	48.4%379 W · 404 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Brute	45c	328.86$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.69	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Brute	49c	324.59$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.84	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed RUSTEC	71c	309.44$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.43	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Brute	51c	302.21$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.33	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed RUSTEC	65c	289.97$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.77	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Brute	47c	283.95$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.41	188	50%94 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…e3e0backed Brute	7c	256.66$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Brute	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	1,038	39.9%414 W · 624 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d83…c9b1backed Brute	19c	202.51$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.82	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Brute	46c	201.93$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.89	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed RUSTEC	49c	199.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	180	41.7%75 W · 105 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9451…c12fbacked Brute	9c	186.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Brute	47c	175.8$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.5	328	45.1%148 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed RUSTEC	56c	175.2$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.87	135	45.2%61 W · 74 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed RUSTEC	56c	172.56$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.18	474	47.5%225 W · 249 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed RUSTEC	65c	150.69$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.79	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked RUSTEC	49c	149.24$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.62	1,262	46.9%592 W · 670 L	-34.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Brute	48c	131.24$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	443	43.3%192 W · 251 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Brute	46c	105.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.38	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Brute	31c	103.76$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Brute	19c	102.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Brute	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	579	35.1%203 W · 376 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed RUSTEC	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	608	38.2%232 W · 376 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Brute	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	700	38.9%272 W · 428 L	-29.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed RUSTEC	51c	99.7$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.85	370	50.5%187 W · 183 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Brute	47c	96.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.51	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Brute	43c	94.65$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+5.0wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Brute	41c	87.83$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.06	739	48.4%358 W · 381 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df4…2680backed Brute	45c	86.06$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Brute	29c	80$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b02…ec47backed RUSTEC	73c	78.94$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd93…0370backed RUSTEC	70c	77.33$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	23	91.3%21 W · 2 L	+6.5wins	+0.28per pick	63cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute	39c	73.55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.91	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2467…6878backed Brute	40c	72.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Brute	46c	70.63$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	194	47.4%92 W · 102 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed RUSTEC	70c	69.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.1	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked RUSTEC	52c	66.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.08	357	52.9%189 W · 168 L	+22.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Brute	43c	62.66$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	105	45.7%48 W · 57 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked RUSTEC	56c	59.84$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.43	205	44.4%91 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brute	34c	59.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Brute	46c	57.7$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	171	53.2%91 W · 80 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed RUSTEC	51c	57.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	339	50.7%172 W · 167 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Brute	37c	54.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Brute	46c	54.26$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Brute	46c	51.28$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	557	38.4%214 W · 343 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed Brute	49c	46.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.61	187	47.1%88 W · 99 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd10d…8f16backed Brute	39c	43.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Brute	30c	41.51$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed RUSTEC	51c	36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f8…258fbacked RUSTEC	56c	34.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.99	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	63cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute	40c	30.42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6632…7738backed Brute	36c	29.65$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.28per pick	44cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked RUSTEC	73c	29.51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Brute	45c	27.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	799	51.7%413 W · 386 L	+25.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed RUSTEC	65c	26.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	164	64.6%106 W · 58 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x205a…682abacked Brute	47c	26.31$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC	50c	26.04$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd22…d3b0backed RUSTEC	63c	24.18$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.26per pick	58cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91aa…4679backed Brute	62c	23.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca6…5045backed RUSTEC	63c	23.28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…0438backed RUSTEC	80c	18.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	31	96.8%30 W · 1 L	+6.0wins	+0.19per pick	77cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked RUSTEC	68c	16.38$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	480	52.3%251 W · 229 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerBrute won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event